AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:11 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick
Over 1.5 goals
StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.20
Rating8/10
Picks by market
ResultMexico to win65% · @1.59
Double chanceMexico or draw85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%
Jamaica vs Mexico – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Jamaica v Mexico is one of the CONCACAF Nations League fixtures we have priced for Sunday 15 November (02:00 WAT).
Form guide
Jamaica over their last 5: DWLWW Most recently they shared the points with Honduras 1–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Mexico over their last 5: LLDDL Most recently they were beaten by Chile 0–2 at home. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.7 per match.
On points per game, Jamaica arrive in better shape – 1.8 against 0.8.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Jamaica 0.8 – 1.9 Mexico in expected goals, roughly 2.7 combined. A middling goal outlook: 51% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Jamaica 15%, draw 20%, Mexico 65%.
Both teams to score: yes – 56% at 1.75.
Verdict
The 90Predict call: Over 1.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.20). Correct-score lean: Jamaica 0–2 Mexico. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jamaica15%fair 6.50 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.85
Mexico65%fair 1.54 · @1.59
2.67Expected goals
0.77Jamaica xG
1.90Mexico xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jamaica 0.8 – 1.9 Mexico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win
65%
1.54
1.59
Double chance
Mexico or draw
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.31
Half-time result
Mexico ahead at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Jamaica – last 6
DWLWWD
6 Oct
@ Honduras
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ El Salvador
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Honduras
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Guatemala
3–2
W
27 May
vs India
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mexico – last 6
LLDDLW
7 Oct
vs Chile
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ USA
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Peru
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Colombia
1–1
D
6 Jul
vs England
2–3
L
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Mexico.
90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.20.
Who will win Jamaica vs Mexico?
Jamaica win 15% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Mexico 65%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Mexico?
Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 51% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Mexico?
Our correct-score lean is Jamaica 0–2 Mexico – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.7.
When is Jamaica vs Mexico?
Jamaica vs Mexico (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
