AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:14 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
78%chance
90Predict pick
Over 1.5 goals
StrongFair 1.29Odds 1.25
Rating9/10
Value
Greece U21 to win @ 2.35our chance 46% vs 43% in the price · edge +8%
Picks by market
ResultGreece U21 to win46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%
Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Iceland U21 v Greece U21 is one of the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixtures we have priced for Thursday 12 November (14:00 WAT, Throttarvollur). The standings: Iceland U21 sit 9th on 12 points after 8 matches (in the drop zone), Greece U21 3rd on 17 (inside the top four).
Form guide
Iceland U21 over their last 5: WWDLW Most recently they got past Faroe Islands U21 2–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 3.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.
Greece U21 over their last 5: WWWDL Most recently they got past Northern Ireland U21 1–0 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.2 per match.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Iceland U21 1.4 – 1.6 Greece U21 in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 54% and both teams scoring at 61%.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Iceland U21 34%, draw 20%, Greece U21 46%.
Both teams to score: yes – 61% at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Greece U21 to win at 2.35 – we make it 46%, the odds imply 43%.
Verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.25). Correct-score lean: Iceland U21 1–1 Greece U21. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iceland U2134%fair 2.97 · @2.60
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.40
Greece U2146%fair 2.17 · @2.35
3.00Expected goals
1.36Iceland U21 xG
1.64Greece U21 xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Iceland U21 1.4 – 1.6 Greece U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Greece U21 to win
46%
2.17
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Greece U21 / FT Greece U21
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Iceland U21 – last 5
WWDLW
6 Oct
@ Faroe Islands U21
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Switzerland U21
5–1
W
25 Sep
vs France U21
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ France U21
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Estonia U21
6–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Greece U21 – last 6
WWWDLL
6 Oct
@ Northern Ireland U21
1–0
W
1 Oct
vs Latvia U21
4–2
W
26 Sep
@ Georgia U21
3–0
W
30 May
@ Croatia U21
1–1
D
27 May
vs Qatar U20
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Germany U21
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iceland U21 and Greece U21.
What is the prediction for Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?
90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance, priced at 1.25.
Who will win Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?
Iceland U21 win 34% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Greece U21 46%.
How many goals will there be in Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?
Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 54% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?
Our correct-score lean is Iceland U21 1–1 Greece U21 – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.0.
When is Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?
Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Throttarvollur.
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
