Derry City vs Waterford – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
FAI Cup action on Sunday 8 November sees Waterford travel to face Derry City at Aviva Stadium – the whistle goes at 16:00 WAT.
Form guide
Derry City over their last 5: DWWLW Most recently they shared the points with Sligo Rovers 2–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Waterford over their last 5: WWWLW Most recently they got past Shelbourne 3–2 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 2 defeats in 4. 2.3 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (14 Sep 2026): Waterford 2–2 Derry City. Across 3 meetings on record, Derry City have won 1, Waterford 1 and 1 finished level, averaging 5.3 goals – both teams found the net in 3 of them.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Derry City 1.6 – 1.4 Waterford in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 56% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Derry City 46%, draw 20%, Waterford 34%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 63% at 1.62.
- Price worth noting: Waterford to win at 3.20 – we make it 34%, the odds imply 31%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Derry City 1–1 Waterford. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.