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Deren v Ulaanbaatar prediction

DerenLDLWW
4:1
FT xG1.63 – 2.89
Deren23%@4.00Draw11%@6.50Ulaanbaatar67%@1.40
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:24 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
71%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Both teams to score

StrongFair 1.41Odds 1.27
Rating7/10

Picks by market

ResultUlaanbaatar to win ✗67% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.27
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%

Deren vs Ulaanbaatar – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Tuesday 10 November: Deren host Ulaanbaatar in the Premier League, kick-off 09:00 (WAT). The standings: Deren sit 3rd on 45 points after 23 matches, Ulaanbaatar 1st on 54.

Form guide

Deren over their last 5: LDLWW Most recently they were beaten by Hunters 1–2 on the road. 2.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.

Ulaanbaatar over their last 5: WWWWW Most recently they got past Central Stallions 3–2 at home. 4.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Ulaanbaatar arrive in better shape – 3.0 against 1.2.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (29 Oct 2026): Ulaanbaatar 1–0 Deren. Across 4 meetings on record, Deren have won 1, Ulaanbaatar 3 and 0 finished level, averaging 2.5 goals – both teams found the net in 1 of them.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Deren 1.6 – 2.9 Ulaanbaatar in expected goals, roughly 4.5 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 83% and both teams scoring at 71%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Deren 23%, draw 11%, Ulaanbaatar 67%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 71% at 1.27.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Both teams to score (71% chance, priced 1.27). Correct-score lean: Deren 1–2 Ulaanbaatar. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deren23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
Draw11%fair 9.42 · @6.50
Ulaanbaatar67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
4.52Expected goals
1.63Deren xG
2.89Ulaanbaatar xG
71%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%

From our goals model: Deren 1.6 – 2.9 Ulaanbaatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlaanbaatar to win ✗67%1.501.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.27
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.201.12
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultUlaanbaatar ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulaanbaatar / FT Ulaanbaatar ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.51–

Recent results

Deren – last 6

LDLWWL
6 Nov@ Hunters1–2L
2 Nov@ Central Stallions3–3D
29 Oct@ Ulaanbaatar0–1L
25 Octvs Hunters2–0W
14 Octvs Erchim5–0W
11 Oct@ Central Stallions1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ulaanbaatar – last 6

WWWWWW
6 Novvs Central Stallions3–2W
2 Nov@ Hunters9–1W
29 Octvs Deren1–0W
25 Oct@ Central Stallions1–0W
18 Octvs Central Stallions2–0W
14 Octvs Khovd Western8–0W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren1–0
6 Jul 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren2–3
27 Jun 2026Deren v Ulaanbaatar0–2
23 May 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren2–0
Deren vs Ulaanbaatar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ulaanbaatar161321+5641
2Central Stallions161231+4039
3Khangarid161033+4033
4Deren16934+4130
5Hunters16736+1724
6Khovd Western16538-718
7Khovd164012-4512
8Khoromkhon162014-596
9Ulaangom City161114-834
10Falcons000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

90Predict goes with Both teams to score – a 71% chance, priced at 1.27.

Who will win Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Deren win 23% of the time on our model, the draw 11%, Ulaanbaatar 67%.

How many goals will there be in Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Around 4.5 goals on our projection – 83% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our correct-score lean is Deren 1–2 Ulaanbaatar – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 4.5.

When is Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Deren vs Ulaanbaatar (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.