AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 07:53 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick
Over 1.5 goals
StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.33
Rating8/10
Value
Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05our chance 52% vs 49% in the price · edge +7%
Picks by market
ResultArgentina to win64% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–07%
Argentina vs Uruguay – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Argentina v Uruguay is one of the Friendlies fixtures we have priced for Saturday 14 November (00:00 WAT, Estadio Alberto J. Armando).
Form guide
Argentina over their last 5: WWWDW Most recently they got past Benin 3–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 4. Averaging 2.8 goals a match – the front line is in form. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Uruguay over their last 5: WWLLD Most recently they got past India 6–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 4. 2.3 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.
On points per game, Argentina arrive in better shape – 2.3 against 1.3.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Argentina 2.0 – 1.0 Uruguay in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 52% for three or more goals, 47% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Argentina 64%, draw 15%, Uruguay 21%.
Both teams to score: no – 53% at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 – we make it 52%, the odds imply 49%.
Verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.33). Correct-score lean: Argentina 2–0 Uruguay. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentina64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
Draw15%fair 6.57 · @4.00
Uruguay21%fair 4.83 · @5.75
3.01Expected goals
2.02Argentina xG
0.99Uruguay xG
47%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Argentina 2.0 – 1.0 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentina to win
64%
1.56
1.55
Double chance
Either team to win
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.28
Half-time result
Argentina ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentina / FT Argentina
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
7%
14.78
–
Recent results
Argentina – last 6
WWWDWD
7 Oct
vs Benin
3–0
W
4 Oct
vs Burkina Faso
7–0
W
1 Oct
vs Bolivia
4–0
W
19 Jul
@ Spain
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ England
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Switzerland
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Uruguay – last 6
WWLLDD
6 Oct
@ India
6–1
W
28 Sep
@ South Korea
4–1
W
24 Sep
@ Japan
1–3
L
27 Jun
vs Spain
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Cape Verde Islands
2–2
D
15 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Uruguay.
90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.33.
Who will win Argentina vs Uruguay?
Argentina win 64% of the time on our model, the draw 15%, Uruguay 21%.
How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Uruguay?
Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Uruguay?
Our correct-score lean is Argentina 2–0 Uruguay – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.0.
When is Argentina vs Uruguay?
Argentina vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto J. Armando.
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
