Primera B Full time Estadio Municipal de Mosquera

Real Cundinamarca v Real Cartagena prediction

2:2
FT xG1.16 – 1.28
Real Cundinamarca36%@2.44Draw22%@2.97Real Cartagena42%@2.69
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 03:03 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.22
Rating8/10
Value

Real Cartagena to win @ 2.69our chance 42% vs 37% in the price · edge +12%

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗42% · @2.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Thursday 12 November: Real Cundinamarca host Real Cartagena in the Primera B at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera, kick-off 00:00 (WAT). Going in, Real Cundinamarca are 4th with 1 points and Real Cartagena 3rd with 4 – one inside the top four, the other inside the top four. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Real Cundinamarca over their last 5: LDLWD Most recently they were beaten by Real Cartagena 0–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Just 0.2 goals per match – chances are not being taken. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Real Cartagena over their last 5: WLDDW Most recently they got past Real Cundinamarca 1–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Real Cartagena arrive in better shape – 1.5 against 1.0.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (8 Nov 2026): Real Cartagena 1–0 Real Cundinamarca. Across 2 meetings on record, Real Cundinamarca have won 0, Real Cartagena 1 and 1 finished level, averaging 1.5 goals – both teams found the net in 1 of them.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Real Cundinamarca 1.2 – 1.3 Real Cartagena in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Real Cundinamarca 36%, draw 22%, Real Cartagena 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 55% at 1.78.
  • Price worth noting: Real Cartagena to win at 2.69 – we make it 42%, the odds imply 37%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Real Cundinamarca 1–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Cundinamarca36%fair 2.76 · @2.44
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @2.97
Real Cartagena42%fair 2.40 · @2.69
2.44Expected goals
1.16Real Cundinamarca xG
1.28Real Cartagena xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Real Cundinamarca 1.2 – 1.3 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✗42%2.402.69 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.78
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Real Cundinamarca – last 6

LDLWDD
8 Nov@ Real Cartagena0–1L
1 Novvs Tigres FC0–0D
29 Oct@ Quindio0–2L
24 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–0W
20 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
14 Octvs Bogota FC0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

WLDDWD
8 Novvs Real Cundinamarca1–0W
4 Novvs Quindio2–3L
29 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
24 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
16 Oct@ Quindio1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Nov 2026Real Cartagena v Real Cundinamarca1–0
2 Aug 2026Real Soacha v Real Cartagena1–1
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Real Cundinamarca win 36% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Real Cartagena 42%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Our correct-score lean is Real Cundinamarca 1–1 Real Cartagena – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.