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Friendlies Kick-off Stade Francis Le Basser

France U21 v Italy U21 prediction

France U21WWWLW
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG1.89 – 1.24
Italy U21WWWWW
France U2157%@1.60Draw14%@4.33Italy U2129%@3.76
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 07:53 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
66%chance
90Predict pick

Over 2.5 goals

GoodFair 1.51Odds 1.26
Rating6/10
Value

Italy U21 to win @ 3.76our chance 29% vs 27% in the price · edge +10%

Picks by market

ResultFrance U21 to win57% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.32
GoalsOver 1.5 goals85% · @1.03
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

France U21 vs Italy U21 – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 18:30 WAT on Friday 13 November: France U21 take on Italy U21 in the Friendlies, with Stade Francis Le Basser hosting.

Form guide

France U21 over their last 5: WWWLW Most recently they got past Switzerland U21 7–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 1 defeat in 4. 2.5 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.

Italy U21 over their last 5: WWWWW Most recently they got past Poland U21 6–2 at home. Averaging 3.2 goals a match – the front line is in form. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Italy U21 arrive in better shape – 3.0 against 2.2.

Goal forecast

Our model projects France U21 1.9 – 1.2 Italy U21 in expected goals, roughly 3.1 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 66% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): France U21 57%, draw 14%, Italy U21 29%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 59% at 1.32.
  • Price worth noting: Italy U21 to win at 3.76 – we make it 29%, the odds imply 27%.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Over 2.5 goals (66% chance, priced 1.26). Correct-score lean: France U21 2–1 Italy U21. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

France U2157%fair 1.77 · @1.60
Draw14%fair 7.01 · @4.33
Italy U2129%fair 3.43 · @3.76
3.13Expected goals
1.89France U21 xG
1.24Italy U21 xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: France U21 1.9 – 1.2 Italy U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrance U21 to win57%1.771.60
Double chanceEither team to win86%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.691.32
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals85%1.181.03
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals66%1.511.26
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals55%1.821.90
Half-time resultFrance U21 ahead at half-time40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT France U21 / FT France U2133%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.34–

Recent results

France U21 – last 6

WWWLWD
6 Octvs Switzerland U217–1W
3 Octvs Luxembourg U213–2W
29 Sep@ Estonia U212–0W
27 Sepvs Japan U181–3L
25 Sepvs Ukraine U181–0W
25 Sep@ Iceland U211–1D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Italy U21 – last 5

WWWWW
5 Octvs Poland U216–2W
1 Oct@ Armenia U211–0W
8 Junvs Albania U211–0W
31 Mar@ Sweden U214–0W
26 Marvs North Macedonia U214–0W
3.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between France U21 and Italy U21.

France U21 vs Italy U21 head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
Singapore Paraguay Tip: Under 3.5 goals 126.0023%X10.0010%21.0967% U3.557%@1.80
Chinese Taipei Kyrgyzstan Tip: Under 3.5 goals 115.7510%X6.5012%21.1578% U3.561%@1.59
Kuwait Syria Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.0042%X3.5016%22.0542% O1.579%@1.25
United Arab Emirates Honduras Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.0745%X3.2417%23.4038% O1.571%@1.33
Saudi Arabia South Korea Tip: Under 3.5 goals 13.4029%X3.6016%21.8555% U3.576%@1.22
Qatar Australia Tip: Under 3.5 goals 13.0046%X3.4016%22.1038% U3.579%@1.22
Poland U21 Norway U21 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.8333%X3.8038%23.2529% O1.574%@1.22
Cancelled Jordan Indonesia Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.4653%X3.8415%26.0131% U3.575%@1.20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for France U21 vs Italy U21?

90Predict goes with Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance, priced at 1.26.

Who will win France U21 vs Italy U21?

France U21 win 57% of the time on our model, the draw 14%, Italy U21 29%.

How many goals will there be in France U21 vs Italy U21?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 66% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for France U21 vs Italy U21?

Our correct-score lean is France U21 2–1 Italy U21 – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is France U21 vs Italy U21?

France U21 vs Italy U21 (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Francis Le Basser.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.