Colon Santa Fe vs Midland – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Primera Nacional action on Saturday 14 November sees Midland travel to face Colon Santa Fe – the whistle goes at 22:00 WAT. The standings: Colon Santa Fe sit 5th on 60 points after 36 matches (in the upper half), Midland 5th on 55 (in the upper half).
Form guide
Colon Santa Fe over their last 5: WWDDW Most recently they got past Defensores De Belgrano 2–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 0.3 per match. 5 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Midland over their last 5: DWLWD Most recently they shared the points with Atlanta 0–0 on the road. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 0.7 per match. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
On points per game, Colon Santa Fe arrive in better shape – 2.0 against 1.3.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Colon Santa Fe 1.6 – 0.5 Midland in expected goals, roughly 2.1 combined. That points to a tight, low-scoring affair – under 2.5 rates 62%.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Colon Santa Fe 65%, draw 23%, Midland 12%.
- Safer cover: Colon Santa Fe or draw – 88% at 1.18.
- Both teams to score: no – 52% at 1.62.
Verdict
We are going with Colon Santa Fe to win (65% chance, priced 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.54, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Colon Santa Fe 1–0 Midland. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.


















