Primera Nacional Kick-off Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano

Deportivo Moron v Colegiales prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG1.45 – 0.64
Deportivo Moron57%@1.90Draw26%@3.00Colegiales17%@4.50
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:45 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
66%chance
90Predict pick

Under 2.5 goals

GoodFair 1.51Odds 1.40
Rating6/10
Value

Deportivo Moron to win @ 1.90our chance 57% vs 53% in the price · edge +9%

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Moron to win57% · @1.90
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%

Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Primera Nacional action on Sunday 15 November sees Colegiales travel to face Deportivo Moron at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano – the whistle goes at 19:00 WAT. The standings: Deportivo Moron sit 3rd on 61 points after 36 matches (inside the top four), Colegiales 7th on 52 (in the upper half).

Form guide

Deportivo Moron over their last 5: WLLLW Most recently they got past Ciudad de Bolívar 2–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Colegiales over their last 5: DDWDW Most recently they shared the points with San Martin Tucuman 0–0 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 0.3 per match. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Colegiales arrive in better shape – 2.0 against 1.0.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Deportivo Moron 1.4 – 0.6 Colegiales in expected goals, roughly 2.1 combined. That points to a tight, low-scoring affair – under 2.5 rates 66%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Deportivo Moron 57%, draw 26%, Colegiales 17%.
  • Safer cover: Deportivo Moron or draw – 83% at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: no – 54% at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Moron to win at 1.90 – we make it 57%, the odds imply 53%.

Verdict

We are going with Under 2.5 goals (66% chance, priced 1.40). Correct-score lean: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Colegiales. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Moron57%fair 1.74 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Colegiales17%fair 5.92 · @4.50
2.08Expected goals
1.45Deportivo Moron xG
0.64Colegiales xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.4 – 0.6 Colegiales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Moron to win57%1.741.90 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.861.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals60%1.661.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals66%1.511.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.191.12
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.55–

Recent results

Deportivo Moron – last 6

WLLLWL
31 Octvs Ciudad de Bolívar2–0W
25 Oct@ Almirante Brown0–1L
18 Octvs Atletico Mitre0–2L
11 Oct@ CA Estudiantes0–2L
3 Octvs All Boys2–1W
27 Sep@ Los Andes1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Colegiales – last 6

DDWDWW
31 Oct@ San Martin Tucuman0–0D
25 Octvs Atletico DE Rafaela1–1D
17 Oct@ Agropecuario3–0W
10 Octvs Tristan Suarez0–0D
4 Oct@ Club Atlético Güemes1–0W
27 Sepvs Chacarita Juniors2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and Colegiales.

Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?

90Predict goes with Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance, priced at 1.40.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?

Deportivo Moron win 57% of the time on our model, the draw 26%, Colegiales 17%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?

Around 2.1 goals on our projection – 34% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?

Our correct-score lean is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Colegiales – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.1.

When is Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?

Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.