Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional prediction
Once Caldas35%@2.44Draw23%@2.90Atletico Nacional41%@3.02
75%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓
Under 3.5 goals
StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.21
ValueAtletico Nacional to win @ 3.02our chance 41% vs 33% in the price · edge +25%
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✗41% · @3.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%
Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional: preview, numbers and pick
The fixture
Next up in the Copa Colombia: Once Caldas against Atletico Nacional, Wednesday 11 November at 02:30 WAT (Estadio Palogrande).
Recent form
Once Caldas, last 5 games: WWWDD Their latest: 1–0 at home – they beat Águilas Doradas. Home record in that spell: 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals: 1.3 for and 0.3 against per game. And 4 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.
Atletico Nacional, last 5 games: WDWWW Their latest: 4–3 at home – they beat Deportivo Pereira. Scoring is not the issue: 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Once Caldas 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
The numbers on goals
90Predict's expected goals: Once Caldas 1.2 – 1.3 Atletico Nacional, about 2.5 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 45% over 2.5, 59% both teams to score. Both teams' recent matches lean under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
- 1X2 on our numbers: Once Caldas 35% · draw 23% · Atletico Nacional 41%.
- GG/NG: yes (59%) at 1.79.
- Value spot: Atletico Nacional to win at 3.02 – 41% for us, 33% by the bookmaker.
What we picked
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.21. Most likely score in our grid: Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.
Result chances
Once Caldas35%fair 2.83 · @2.44
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Atletico Nacional41%fair 2.42 · @3.02
2.53Expected goals
1.20Once Caldas xG
1.33Atletico Nacional xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.2 – 1.3 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | Atletico Nacional to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 3.02 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.79 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✗ | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.84 | – |
Recent results
Once Caldas – last 6
WWWDDW
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WDWWWL
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional head-to-head page →
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Nacional 41%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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