AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:35 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
77%chance
90Predict pick
Under 3.5 goals
StrongFair 1.30Odds 1.25
Rating8/10
Value
Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 1.80our chance 60% vs 56% in the price · edge +8%
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%
Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Danubio v Liverpool Montevideo is one of the Primera División Apertura fixtures we have priced for Sunday 15 November (20:30 WAT). Going in, Danubio are 14th with 10 points and Liverpool Montevideo 1st with 30 – one in the drop zone, the other leading the way. There are 20 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Danubio over their last 5: LWLWW Most recently they were beaten by Club Nacional 1–2 at home. 2.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Liverpool Montevideo over their last 5: DWWWW Most recently they shared the points with Juventud 1–1 at home. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.2 per match. 5 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
On points per game, Liverpool Montevideo arrive in better shape – 2.7 against 1.5.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Danubio 0.8 – 1.6 Liverpool Montevideo in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 43% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Danubio 20%, draw 20%, Liverpool Montevideo 60%.
Both teams to score: yes – 51% at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Liverpool Montevideo to win at 1.80 – we make it 60%, the odds imply 56%.
Verdict
The 90Predict call: Under 3.5 goals (77% chance, priced 1.25). Correct-score lean: Danubio 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Danubio20%fair 4.91 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.30
Liverpool Montevideo60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
2.35Expected goals
0.76Danubio xG
1.59Liverpool Montevideo xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Danubio 0.8 – 1.6 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Danubio – last 6
LWLWWL
1 Nov
vs Club Nacional
1–2
L
30 Oct
@ Wanderers Durazno
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Central Espanol
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Central Espanol
6–0
W
9 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Nov
vs Juventud
1–1
D
5 Nov
@ Gladiador
2–0
W
3 Nov
vs Juventud
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Club Nacional
1–0
W
21 Oct
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Penarol
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance, priced at 1.25.
Who will win Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Danubio win 20% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Liverpool Montevideo 60%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Around 2.3 goals on our projection – 43% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our correct-score lean is Danubio 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.3.
When is Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
