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Segunda División Kick-off

Cerrito v Colón prediction

CerritoDDLWD
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG1.02 – 1.47
ColónWLWWD
Cerrito32%@3.86Draw15%@3.68Colón53%@1.69
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 08:55 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
74%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.34Odds 1.24
Rating8/10
Value

Cerrito to win @ 3.86our chance 32% vs 26% in the price · edge +22%

Picks by market

ResultColón to win53% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%

Cerrito vs Colón – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 20:30 WAT on Thursday 12 November: Cerrito take on Colón in the Segunda División. The standings: Cerrito sit 9th on 34 points after 25 matches (in the lower half), Colón 3rd on 39 (inside the top four).

Form guide

Cerrito over their last 5: DDLWD Most recently they shared the points with Fenix 1–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.3 per match.

Colón over their last 5: WLWWD Most recently they got past Atenas 1–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 1.2 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (8 Aug 2026): Colón 1–0 Cerrito.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Cerrito 1.0 – 1.5 Colón in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 46% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Cerrito 32%, draw 15%, Colón 53%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 53% at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Cerrito to win at 3.86 – we make it 32%, the odds imply 26%.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.24). Correct-score lean: Cerrito 1–1 Colón. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerrito32%fair 3.16 · @3.86
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @3.68
Colón53%fair 1.89 · @1.69
2.49Expected goals
1.02Cerrito xG
1.47Colón xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Cerrito 1.0 – 1.5 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColón to win53%1.891.69
Double chanceEither team to win85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.881.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.341.24
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colón / FT Colón28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%8.18–

Recent results

Cerrito – last 6

DDLWDW
31 Oct@ Fenix1–1D
25 Octvs Rentistas2–2D
18 Oct@ Miramar0–1L
10 Octvs Tacuarembo2–1W
7 Octvs Wanderers2–2D
4 Oct@ Plaza Colonia3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Colón – last 6

WLWWDL
1 Novvs Atenas1–0W
27 Oct@ Paysandu2–3L
17 Octvs Sportivo Huracan3–0W
10 Oct@ Uruguay Montevideo3–1W
4 Octvs Oriental0–0D
26 Sep@ CA River Plate0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Colón v Cerrito1–0
Cerrito vs Colón head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub
Atenas Oriental Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.7763%X3.3026%23.9411% U3.576%@1.20
Plaza Colonia Rentistas Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.9736%X2.9822%22.2342% U3.577%@1.20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Colón?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance, priced at 1.24.

Who will win Cerrito vs Colón?

Cerrito win 32% of the time on our model, the draw 15%, Colón 53%.

How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Colón?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Colón?

Our correct-score lean is Cerrito 1–1 Colón – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Cerrito vs Colón?

Cerrito vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.