América W v Toluca W: preview, numbers and pick
The fixture
Next up in the Liga MX Femenil: América W against Toluca W, Thursday 12 November at 02:00 WAT (Estadio Banorte). In the table, América W have 37 points from 14 games (1st, top of the table) and Toluca W have 27 (6th, in the top half).
Recent form
América W, last 5 games: WWWWL Their latest: 3–1 away – they beat Guadalajara W. 4.3 goals per game – this attack is firing. And 3 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.
Toluca W, last 5 games: DLWDW Their latest: 1–1 away – they drew with Querétaro W. Away record in that spell: 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals: 1.8 for and 1.0 against per game.
América W come in with the stronger run: 2.5 points per game, compared with 1.8.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Toluca W 1–7 América W. The last 2 meetings: América W 2 wins, Toluca W 0, 0 draws – 5.0 goals a game on average, with both sides scoring 1 time.
The numbers on goals
90Predict's expected goals: América W 2.9 – 1.4 Toluca W, about 4.2 in total. Plenty of goal threat here – over 2.5 rates 78%, GG 64%. Both teams' recent matches lean over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
- 1X2 on our numbers: América W 68% · draw 17% · Toluca W 15%.
- GG/NG: yes (64%) at 1.73.
- Value spot: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 64% for us, 58% by the bookmaker.
Our pick
Our call: Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Most likely score in our grid: América W 2–1 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.
