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FA Cup Kick-off

Smail v Bahla prediction

SmailDLDDD
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG1.31 – 2.30
BahlaWWWDW
Smail23%@3.74Draw16%@3.48Bahla61%@1.76
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:07 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
62%chance
90Predict pick

Over 2.5 goals

GoodFair 1.61Odds 1.69
Rating5/10
Value

Bahla to win @ 1.76our chance 61% vs 57% in the price · edge +8%

Picks by market

ResultBahla to win61% · @1.76
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Smail vs Bahla – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Smail v Bahla is one of the FA Cup fixtures we have priced for Thursday 12 November (14:55 WAT).

Form guide

Smail over their last 5: DLDDD Most recently they shared the points with Bidiyah Club 1–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Averaging 2.2 goals a match – the front line is in form.

Bahla over their last 5: WWWDW Most recently they got past Al Nasr 1–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 4. Scoring 1.8, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Bahla arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 0.8.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (23 May 2026): Smail 0–1 Bahla.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Smail 1.3 – 2.3 Bahla in expected goals, roughly 3.6 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 62% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Smail 23%, draw 16%, Bahla 61%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 56% at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Bahla to win at 1.76 – we make it 61%, the odds imply 57%.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Over 2.5 goals (62% chance, priced 1.69 – longer than our fair 1.61, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Smail 1–2 Bahla. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Smail23%fair 4.42 · @3.74
Draw16%fair 6.27 · @3.48
Bahla61%fair 1.63 · @1.76
3.61Expected goals
1.31Smail xG
2.30Bahla xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
0–16%
2–26%

From our goals model: Smail 1.3 – 2.3 Bahla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBahla to win61%1.631.76 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.221.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.611.69 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals59%1.701.36
Half-time resultBahla ahead at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bahla / FT Bahla39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.67–

Recent results

Smail – last 6

DLDDDD
29 Octvs Bidiyah Club1–1D
23 Oct@ Al-Shabab1–2L
17 Octvs Al Musannah1–1D
10 Oct@ Dhofar2–2D
1 Oct@ Al Nasr3–3D
25 Sepvs Dhofar5–5D
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bahla – last 6

WWWDWL
24 Octvs Al Nasr1–0W
18 Oct@ Oman Club1–0W
1 Octvs Fanja4–0W
21 Sep@ Al Nasr2–2D
11 Sep@ Sur3–1W
5 Sep@ Saham0–1L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Smail v Bahla0–1
Smail vs Bahla head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
Oman Club Al Nasr Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.2450%X3.1517%22.7933% O1.572%@1.34
Sur Dhofar Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4944%X3.1417%22.4939% O1.573%@1.38

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Smail vs Bahla?

90Predict goes with Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance, priced at 1.69.

Who will win Smail vs Bahla?

Smail win 23% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Bahla 61%.

How many goals will there be in Smail vs Bahla?

Around 3.6 goals on our projection – 62% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Smail vs Bahla?

Our correct-score lean is Smail 1–2 Bahla – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.6.

When is Smail vs Bahla?

Smail vs Bahla (FA Cup) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 14:55 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.