2 Join free
Serie B Kick-off

Fortaleza EC v Vila Nova prediction

Fortaleza ECLDDWD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.18 – 1.08
Vila NovaWDLDW
Fortaleza EC42%@2.45Draw22%@3.25Vila Nova37%@2.70
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:29 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
65%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

GoodFair 1.53Odds 1.44
Rating6/10
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.10our chance 52% vs 48% in the price · edge +10%

Picks by market

ResultFortaleza EC to win42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 20:30 WAT on Saturday 14 November: Fortaleza EC take on Vila Nova in the Serie B. The standings: Fortaleza EC sit 5th on 62 points after 37 matches (in the upper half), Vila Nova 3rd on 66 (inside the top four).

Form guide

Fortaleza EC over their last 5: LDDWD Most recently they were beaten by Novorizontino 1–2 on the road. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.0 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Vila Nova over their last 5: WDLDW Most recently they got past Criciuma 1–0 at home. Scoring 1.5, conceding 1.2 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (22 Jul 2026): Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.1 Vila Nova in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 39% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Fortaleza EC 42%, draw 22%, Vila Nova 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 52% at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 2.10 – we make it 52%, the odds imply 48%.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Over 1.5 goals (65% chance, priced 1.44). Correct-score lean: Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fortaleza EC42%fair 2.39 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.25
Vila Nova37%fair 2.73 · @2.70
2.25Expected goals
1.18Fortaleza EC xG
1.08Vila Nova xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.1 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortaleza EC to win42%2.392.45
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.271.36 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.912.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.241.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.75–

Recent results

Fortaleza EC – last 6

LDDWDW
7 Nov@ Novorizontino1–2L
2 Novvs Atletico Goianiense0–0D
24 Oct@ Ponte Preta2–2D
17 Oct@ Sport Recife2–0W
12 Octvs CRB2–2D
8 Oct@ America Mineiro1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vila Nova – last 6

WDLDWD
7 Novvs Criciuma1–0W
31 Octvs Juventude2–2D
24 Oct@ São Bernardo2–3L
18 Octvs Novorizontino2–2D
11 Oct@ Nautico Recife2–0W
8 Octvs Cuiaba0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Vila Nova v Fortaleza EC2–1
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
America Mineiro Avai Tip: Avai or draw 13.8411%X3.6223%21.8265% X289%@1.22
Atletico Goianiense Cuiaba Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.3364%X4.4521%29.1015% U3.576%@1.25
CRB Ceara Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.3665%X4.6017%27.5017% U3.566%@1.41
Criciuma Novorizontino Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.7537%X3.0023%22.6040% U3.577%@1.25
Juventude Botafogo SP Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.3267%X4.5522%29.2011% U3.575%@1.26
Ponte Preta Operario-PR Tip: Over 1.5 goals 14.9522%X3.9218%21.5961% O1.575%@1.21
São Bernardo Athletic Club Tip: São Bernardo or draw 11.8859%X3.4422%23.8019% 1X81%@1.22
Sport Recife Goias Tip: Goias to win 13.5020%X3.6217%21.9164% 264%@1.91

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance, priced at 1.44.

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Fortaleza EC win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Vila Nova 37%.

How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Around 2.3 goals on our projection – 39% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Our correct-score lean is Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.3.

When is Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.