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Serie B Kick-off Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport Recife v Goias prediction

Sport RecifeLDWLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG0.83 – 1.83
GoiasWWWDW
Sport Recife20%@3.50Draw17%@3.62Goias64%@1.91
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 23:54 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
64%chance
90Predict pick

Goias to win

GoodFair 1.56Odds 1.91
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultGoias to win64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%

Sport Recife vs Goias – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Sport Recife v Goias is one of the Serie B fixtures we have priced for Saturday 14 November (20:30 WAT, Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho). Going in, Sport Recife are 9th with 55 points and Goias 7th with 58 – one in the upper half, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Sport Recife over their last 5: LDWLD Most recently they were beaten by Operario-PR 2–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.5 per match.

Goias over their last 5: WWWDW Most recently they got past Ponte Preta 1–0 at home. Scoring 1.5, conceding 0.3 per match. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Goias arrive in better shape – 2.7 against 1.3.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (23 Jul 2026): Goias 1–1 Sport Recife.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Sport Recife 0.8 – 1.8 Goias in expected goals, roughly 2.7 combined. A middling goal outlook: 52% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Sport Recife 20%, draw 17%, Goias 64%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.60.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Goias to win (64% chance, priced 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.56, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Sport Recife 0–1 Goias. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sport Recife20%fair 5.13 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @3.62
Goias64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
2.66Expected goals
0.83Sport Recife xG
1.83Goias xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sport Recife 0.8 – 1.8 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGoias to win64%1.561.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.201.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.771.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.37
Half-time resultGoias ahead at half-time43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Goias / FT Goias38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.29–

Recent results

Sport Recife – last 6

LDWLDW
6 Nov@ Operario-PR2–3L
31 Oct@ Botafogo SP1–1D
24 Octvs Criciuma2–1W
17 Octvs Fortaleza EC0–2L
11 Oct@ Atletico Goianiense1–1D
6 Octvs São Bernardo2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Goias – last 6

WWWDWW
8 Novvs Ponte Preta1–0W
3 Novvs CRB2–1W
28 Oct@ Ceara2–0W
19 Octvs Nautico Recife0–0D
11 Oct@ Operario-PR2–0W
7 Octvs Athletic Club2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Goias v Sport Recife1–1
Sport Recife vs Goias head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
America Mineiro Avai Tip: Avai or draw 13.8411%X3.6223%21.8265% X289%@1.22
Atletico Goianiense Cuiaba Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.3364%X4.4521%29.1015% U3.576%@1.25
CRB Ceara Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.3665%X4.6017%27.5017% U3.566%@1.41
Criciuma Novorizontino Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.7537%X3.0023%22.6040% U3.577%@1.25
Fortaleza EC Vila Nova Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4542%X3.2522%22.7037% O1.565%@1.44
Juventude Botafogo SP Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.3267%X4.5522%29.2011% U3.575%@1.26
Ponte Preta Operario-PR Tip: Over 1.5 goals 14.9522%X3.9218%21.5961% O1.575%@1.21
São Bernardo Athletic Club Tip: São Bernardo or draw 11.8859%X3.4422%23.8019% 1X81%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Goias?

90Predict goes with Goias to win – a 64% chance, priced at 1.91.

Who will win Sport Recife vs Goias?

Sport Recife win 20% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Goias 64%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Goias?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Goias?

Our correct-score lean is Sport Recife 0–1 Goias – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Sport Recife vs Goias?

Sport Recife vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.