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Spain v England prediction

SpainWWWWD
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG2.61 – 1.03
EnglandWWWLW
Spain69%@1.60Draw20%@4.56England11%@5.36
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:09 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
69%chance
90Predict pick

Spain to win

StrongFair 1.44Odds 1.60
Rating7/10

Picks by market

ResultSpain to win69% · @1.60
Double chanceSpain or draw89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Spain vs England – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 20:45 WAT on Sunday 15 November: Spain take on England in the UEFA Nations League. The standings: Spain sit 1st on 12 points after 4 matches, England 2nd on 9. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Spain over their last 5: WWWWD Most recently they got past Croatia 2–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Averaging 2.3 goals a match – the front line is in form.

England over their last 5: WWWLW Most recently they got past Czechia 3–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Averaging 3.5 goals a match – the front line is in form. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Spain arrive in better shape – 2.7 against 2.0.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (26 Sep 2026): England 2–3 Spain.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Spain 2.6 – 1.0 England in expected goals, roughly 3.6 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 66% and both teams scoring at 63%. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Spain 69%, draw 20%, England 11%.
  • Safer cover: Spain or draw – 89% at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 63% at 1.56.

Verdict

We are going with Spain to win (69% chance, priced 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.44, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Spain 2–1 England. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spain69%fair 1.44 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.56
England11%fair 9.28 · @5.36
3.64Expected goals
2.61Spain xG
1.03England xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Spain 2.6 – 1.0 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpain to win69%1.441.60 ▲
Double chanceSpain or draw89%1.121.18 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.601.56
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals85%1.181.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals66%1.501.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals54%1.841.68
Half-time resultSpain ahead at half-time53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spain / FT Spain48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.86–

Recent results

Spain – last 6

WWWWDW
6 Oct@ Croatia2–1W
3 Octvs Czechia3–1W
29 Sepvs Croatia4–1W
26 Sep@ England3–2W
19 Julvs Argentina0–0D
14 Jul@ France2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

England – last 6

WWWLWL
6 Octvs Czechia3–0W
3 Oct@ Croatia7–0W
29 Sep@ Czechia2–0W
26 Sepvs Spain2–3L
18 Jul@ France6–4W
15 Julvs Argentina1–2L
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026England v Spain2–3
Spain vs England head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain4400+712
2England4301+119
3Croatia4103-103
4Czechia4004-80

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
France Türkiye Tip: Over 2.5 goals 11.1174%X7.7019%215.007% O2.566%@1.32
Belgium Italy Tip: Both teams to score 12.1841%X3.7619%22.7840% GG64%@1.53
Croatia Czechia Tip: Both teams to score 11.3370%X4.9316%27.6013% GG59%@1.87

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spain vs England?

90Predict goes with Spain to win – a 69% chance, priced at 1.60.

Who will win Spain vs England?

Spain win 69% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, England 11%.

How many goals will there be in Spain vs England?

Around 3.6 goals on our projection – 66% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Spain vs England?

Our correct-score lean is Spain 2–1 England – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.6.

When is Spain vs England?

Spain vs England (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.