France v Türkiye prediction

FranceWDWWL
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG2.51 – 0.73
France74%@1.11Draw19%@7.70Türkiye7%@15.00
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:53 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
66%chance
90Predict pick

Over 2.5 goals

GoodFair 1.51Odds 1.32
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultFrance to win74% · @1.11
Double chanceFrance or draw93%
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83%
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

France vs Türkiye – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

France v Türkiye is one of the UEFA Nations League fixtures we have priced for Sunday 15 November (20:45 WAT). The standings: France sit 1st on 10 points after 4 matches, Türkiye 4th on 0.

Form guide

France over their last 5: WDWWL Most recently they got past Belgium 4–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 4. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.7 per match.

Türkiye over their last 5: LLLLW Most recently they were beaten by Italy 1–3 on the road. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

On points per game, France arrive in better shape – 1.7 against 0.5.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (25 Sep 2026): Türkiye 0–1 France.

Goal forecast

Our model projects France 2.5 – 0.7 Türkiye in expected goals, roughly 3.2 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 66% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): France 74%, draw 19%, Türkiye 7%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 53% at 1.93.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Over 2.5 goals (66% chance, priced 1.32). Correct-score lean: France 3–0 Türkiye. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

France74%fair 1.35 · @1.11
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @7.70
Türkiye7%fair 14.96 · @15.00
3.24Expected goals
2.51France xG
0.73Türkiye xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: France 2.5 – 0.7 Türkiye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrance to win74%1.351.11
Double chanceFrance or draw93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.891.93
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals66%1.511.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.791.82
Half-time resultFrance ahead at half-time56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT France / FT France52%1.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.11–

Recent results

France – last 6

WDWWLL
5 Octvs Belgium4–1W
2 Octvs Italy1–1D
28 Sep@ Belgium1–0W
25 Sep@ Türkiye1–0W
18 Julvs England4–6L
14 Julvs Spain0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Türkiye – last 6

LLLLWL
5 Oct@ Italy1–3L
2 Oct@ Belgium0–3L
28 Sepvs Italy1–4L
25 Sepvs France0–1L
26 Junvs USA3–2W
20 Junvs Paraguay0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Sep 2026Türkiye v France0–1
France vs Türkiye head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France4310+510
2Italy4211+37
3Belgium4202+16
4Türkiye4004-90

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for France vs Türkiye?

90Predict goes with Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance, priced at 1.32.

Who will win France vs Türkiye?

France win 74% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Türkiye 7%.

How many goals will there be in France vs Türkiye?

Around 3.2 goals on our projection – 66% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for France vs Türkiye?

Our correct-score lean is France 3–0 Türkiye – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.2.

When is France vs Türkiye?

France vs Türkiye (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.