Belarus vs Albania – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Belarus v Albania is one of the UEFA Nations League fixtures we have priced for Sunday 15 November (18:00 WAT). The standings: Belarus sit 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches, Albania 1st on 9. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Belarus over their last 5: WWDLD Most recently they got past Finland 1–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 4. Scoring 1.8, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Albania over their last 5: WLWWL Most recently they got past San Marino 2–1 at home. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.8 per match.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (26 Sep 2026): Albania 2–0 Belarus.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Belarus 1.0 – 1.3 Albania in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 42% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Belarus 33%, draw 17%, Albania 50%.
- Both teams to score: no – 53% at 1.74.
- Price worth noting: Belarus to win at 3.97 – we make it 33%, the odds imply 25%.
Verdict
Ade Ola's verdict: Under 3.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Belarus 0–1 Albania. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.



