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Le Havre v Lorient: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stade Océane

Le Havre

LLLLL
0–2
FT

Lorient

LDWWL
Le Havre 35%Draw 22%Lorient 43% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.32
76%
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLorient to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Le Havre v Lorient: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Sunday 8 November, 17:15 WAT: Le Havre welcome Lorient in the Ligue 1 at Stade Océane.

Recent form

Le Havre, last 5 games: LLLLL Their latest: 1–5 at home – they lost to Paris Saint Germain. Home record in that spell: 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals: 1.2 for and 2.7 against per game.

Lorient, last 5 games: LDWWL Their latest: 0–2 at home – they lost to Stade Brestois 29. Only 0.8 goals per game – the attack has stalled. And 3 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

Lorient come in with the stronger run: 1.3 points per game, compared with 0.2.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Lorient 0–2 Le Havre.

The numbers on goals

90Predict' expected goals: Le Havre 1.1 – 1.3 Lorient, about 2.5 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 45% over 2.5, 59% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Le Havre 35% · draw 22% · Lorient 43%.
  • GG/NG: yes (59%) at 1.80.
  • Value spot: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% for us, 56% by the bookmaker.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Most likely score in our grid: Le Havre 1–1 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Le Havre35%fair 2.84 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Lorient43%fair 2.32 · @2.40
2.47Expected goals
1.15Le Havre xG
1.32Lorient xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Le Havre 1.1 – 1.3 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLorient to win ✓43%2.322.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lorient / FT Lorient ✓23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.82–

Recent results

Le Havre – last 6

LLLLLD
30 Octvs Paris Saint Germain1–5L
25 Oct@ Marseille3–4L
18 Octvs Auxerre1–3L
10 Oct@ Lille0–1L
19 Sep@ Toulouse2–3L
12 Sepvs Angers0–0D
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lorient – last 6

LDWWLD
31 Octvs Stade Brestois 290–2L
25 Oct@ Angers0–0D
18 Octvs Monaco1–0W
10 Octvs Paris FC1–0W
19 Sep@ Le Mans1–2L
12 Sepvs Toulouse2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Lorient v Le Havre0–2
Le Havre vs Lorient head-to-head page →

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub
FT Rennes1 Lille2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4039%X3.4021%22.8840% O1.579%@1.22✓
FT Angers0 Nice2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.5028%X3.6020%22.0551% O1.578%@1.22✓
FT Stade Brestois 292 Lyon0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.7537%X3.5020%22.5043% O1.576%@1.25✓
FT Le Mans1 Monaco1 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 15.2516%X3.8020%21.6764% O1.577%@1.25✓
FT Lens1 Marseille2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.2541%X3.6020%23.0039% O1.581%@1.20✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

On our numbers Le Havre have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lorient 43%.

How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Lorient?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our predicted score is Le Havre 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Le Havre vs Lorient?

Le Havre vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.

Numbers from 90Predict' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.