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Ligue 1 Full time Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens v Marseille prediction

LensLLWLW
1:2
FT xG1.62 – 1.58
MarseilleWWWLW
Lens41%@2.25Draw20%@3.60Marseille39%@3.00
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:24 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
81%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Over 1.5 goals

Very strongFair 1.24Odds 1.20
Rating9/10
Value

Marseille to win @ 3.00our chance 39% vs 33% in the price · edge +17%

Picks by market

ResultLens to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%

Lens vs Marseille – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Lens v Marseille is one of the Ligue 1 fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (20:45 WAT, Stade Bollaert-Delelis).

Form guide

Lens over their last 5: LLWLW Most recently they were beaten by Como 1–9 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 2.8 per match.

Marseille over their last 5: WWWLW Most recently they got past Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Averaging 2.0 goals a match – the front line is in form.

On points per game, Marseille arrive in better shape – 2.0 against 1.0.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Lens 1.6 – 1.6 Marseille in expected goals, roughly 3.2 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Lens 41%, draw 20%, Marseille 39%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 64% at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Marseille to win at 3.00 – we make it 39%, the odds imply 33%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81% chance, priced 1.20). Correct-score lean: Lens 1–1 Marseille. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lens41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Marseille39%fair 2.56 · @3.00
3.20Expected goals
1.62Lens xG
1.58Marseille xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Lens 1.6 – 1.6 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLens to win ✗41%2.462.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.50
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lens / FT Lens ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Lens – last 6

LLWLWL
4 Novvs Como1–9L
30 Oct@ Lille0–1L
24 Octvs Paris FC2–1W
21 Oct@ Club Brugge KV0–3L
17 Oct@ Estac Troyes3–1W
13 Octvs Sporting CP0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Marseille – last 6

WWWLWL
5 Nov@ Bayer Leverkusen1–0W
1 Novvs Toulouse2–0W
25 Octvs Le Havre4–3W
22 Oct@ Sturm Graz0–1L
18 Oct@ Angers5–2W
15 Octvs Olympiakos Piraeus0–1L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lens and Marseille.

Lens vs Marseille head-to-head page →

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub
FT Rennes1 Lille2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4039%X3.4021%22.8840% O1.579%@1.22✓
FT Angers0 Nice2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.5028%X3.6020%22.0551% O1.578%@1.22✓
FT Stade Brestois 292 Lyon0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.7537%X3.5020%22.5043% O1.576%@1.25✓
FT Le Havre0 Lorient2 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 13.0035%X3.3022%22.4043% U3.576%@1.28✓
FT Le Mans1 Monaco1 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 15.2516%X3.8020%21.6764% O1.577%@1.25✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lens vs Marseille?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance, priced at 1.20.

Who will win Lens vs Marseille?

Lens win 41% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Marseille 39%.

How many goals will there be in Lens vs Marseille?

Around 3.2 goals on our projection – 60% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs Marseille?

Our correct-score lean is Lens 1–1 Marseille – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.2.

When is Lens vs Marseille?

Lens vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.