Segunda División Full time

Sporting Gijon v Valladolid prediction

1:2
FT xG1.32 – 1.25
Sporting Gijon41%@2.45Draw22%@3.20Valladolid37%@2.88
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:16 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.34Odds 1.25
Rating8/10
Value

Valladolid to win @ 2.88our chance 37% vs 35% in the price · edge +8%

Picks by market

ResultSporting Gijon to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Sporting Gijon host Valladolid in the Segunda División, kick-off 18:30 (WAT). The standings: Sporting Gijon sit 7th on 22 points after 13 matches (in the upper half), Valladolid 12th on 18 (in the lower half).

Form guide

Sporting Gijon over their last 5: WWLWW Most recently they got past AD Ceuta FC 2–0 on the road. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.3 per match.

Valladolid over their last 5: WWLLW Most recently they got past Leganes 4–3 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Averaging 2.5 goals a match – the front line is in form.

On points per game, Sporting Gijon arrive in better shape – 2.5 against 1.7.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (8 Aug 2026): Sporting Gijon 2–4 Valladolid. Across 2 meetings on record, Sporting Gijon have won 0, Valladolid 1 and 1 finished level, averaging 5.0 goals – both teams found the net in 2 of them.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Sporting Gijon 1.3 – 1.2 Valladolid in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 46% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Sporting Gijon 41%, draw 22%, Valladolid 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 53% at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Valladolid to win at 2.88 – we make it 37%, the odds imply 35%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.25). Correct-score lean: Sporting Gijon 1–1 Valladolid. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Gijon41%fair 2.46 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Valladolid37%fair 2.67 · @2.88
2.56Expected goals
1.32Sporting Gijon xG
1.25Valladolid xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.3 – 1.2 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Gijon to win ✗41%2.462.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.36 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.01–

Recent results

Sporting Gijon – last 6

WWLWWW
1 Nov@ AD Ceuta FC2–0W
29 Oct@ Guijuelo3–1W
25 Oct@ Castellón0–4L
17 Octvs Albacete2–1W
11 Oct@ Cadiz1–0W
4 Octvs Celta de Vigo II3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Valladolid – last 6

WWLLWD
2 Novvs Leganes4–3W
29 Oct@ Covadonga1–0W
23 Oct@ Granada CF1–2L
18 Octvs Eldense2–3L
12 Octvs Albacete5–0W
4 Oct@ Las Palmas2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Sporting Gijon v Valladolid2–4
22 Feb 2026Sporting Gijon v Valladolid2–2
Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos13733+524
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Eldense13427-614
16Celta de Vigo II13346-613
17Real Sociedad II13337-712
18Leganes13337-1212
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.25.

Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Sporting Gijon win 41% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Valladolid 37%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Our correct-score lean is Sporting Gijon 1–1 Valladolid – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.