Girona vs Almeria – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Girona v Almeria is one of the Segunda División fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (16:15 WAT, Estadio Municipal de Montilivi). Going in, Girona are 8th with 21 points and Almeria 1st with 29 – one in the upper half, the other leading the way.
Form guide
Girona over their last 5: LWWWD Most recently they were beaten by Real Sociedad II 0–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.5 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Almeria over their last 5: DDDWW Most recently they shared the points with Eibar 1–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Averaging 2.0 goals a match – the front line is in form.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Girona 1.6 – 1.2 Almeria in expected goals, roughly 2.8 combined. A middling goal outlook: 52% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Girona 48%, draw 21%, Almeria 31%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.67.
- Price worth noting: Almeria to win at 3.70 – we make it 31%, the odds imply 27%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Girona 1–1 Almeria. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.





















