Atlético Paso v RSD Alcalá prediction

1:1
FT xG1.41 – 1.14
Atlético Paso45%@2.35Draw22%@3.02RSD Alcalá33%@2.77
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:26 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.34Odds 1.21
Rating8/10
Value

Atlético Paso to win @ 2.35our chance 45% vs 43% in the price · edge +6%

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Paso to win ✗45% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Atlético Paso host RSD Alcalá in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, kick-off 13:00 (WAT). Going in, Atlético Paso are 15th with 10 points and RSD Alcalá 13th with 10 – one in the lower half, the other in the lower half. Level on points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Atlético Paso over their last 5: LWWDL Most recently they were beaten by Navalcarnero 1–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.3 per match.

RSD Alcalá over their last 5: DDLDD Most recently they shared the points with Conquense 2–2 on the road. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

On points per game, Atlético Paso arrive in better shape – 1.7 against 0.7.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Atlético Paso 1.4 – 1.1 RSD Alcalá in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 46% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Atlético Paso 45%, draw 22%, RSD Alcalá 33%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 52% at 1.82.
  • Price worth noting: Atlético Paso to win at 2.35 – we make it 45%, the odds imply 43%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.21). Correct-score lean: Atlético Paso 1–1 RSD Alcalá. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Paso45%fair 2.21 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.02
RSD Alcalá33%fair 3.05 · @2.77
2.55Expected goals
1.41Atlético Paso xG
1.14RSD Alcalá xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Atlético Paso 1.4 – 1.1 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético Paso to win ✗45%2.212.35 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.82
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.21
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlético Paso / FT Atlético Paso ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Atlético Paso – last 6

LWWDLW
1 Nov@ Navalcarnero1–3L
27 Octvs Cordoba3–1W
24 Octvs Real Ávila3–0W
18 Oct@ Conquense2–2D
11 Oct@ CF Talavera1–2L
3 Octvs Real Madrid III1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

RSD Alcalá – last 6

DDLDDL
1 Nov@ Conquense2–2D
27 Octvs Las Palmas1–1D
24 Octvs SS Reyes1–2L
18 Octvs Real Madrid III0–0D
11 Oct@ Calvo Sotelo0–0D
4 Octvs Navalcarnero1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlético Paso and RSD Alcalá.

Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.21.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?

Atlético Paso win 45% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, RSD Alcalá 33%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?

Our correct-score lean is Atlético Paso 1–1 RSD Alcalá – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá?

Atlético Paso vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.