Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Segunda División RFEF Group 5 action on Sunday 8 November sees Calvo Sotelo travel to face Numancia – the whistle goes at 12:00 WAT. The standings: Numancia sit 1st on 19 points after 10 matches (leading the way), Calvo Sotelo 18th on 6 (in the drop zone). There are 13 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Numancia over their last 5: WDLDD Most recently they got past Atlético Tordesillas 2–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.3 per match.
Calvo Sotelo over their last 5: LDLDL Most recently they were beaten by Guadalajara 1–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Numancia 1.8 – 0.5 Calvo Sotelo in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Numancia 68%, draw 21%, Calvo Sotelo 11%.
- Both teams to score: no – 53% at 1.59.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.26). Correct-score lean: Numancia 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

















