Numancia v Calvo Sotelo prediction

6:0
FT xG1.79 – 0.54
Numancia68%@1.36Draw21%@4.00Calvo Sotelo11%@7.50
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:53 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.26
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultNumancia to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceNumancia or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%

Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 action on Sunday 8 November sees Calvo Sotelo travel to face Numancia – the whistle goes at 12:00 WAT. The standings: Numancia sit 1st on 19 points after 10 matches (leading the way), Calvo Sotelo 18th on 6 (in the drop zone). There are 13 points between them – very different campaigns so far.

Form guide

Numancia over their last 5: WDLDD Most recently they got past Atlético Tordesillas 2–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.3 per match.

Calvo Sotelo over their last 5: LDLDL Most recently they were beaten by Guadalajara 1–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Numancia 1.8 – 0.5 Calvo Sotelo in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Numancia 68%, draw 21%, Calvo Sotelo 11%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 53% at 1.59.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.26). Correct-score lean: Numancia 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Numancia68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.00
Calvo Sotelo11%fair 9.39 · @7.50
2.34Expected goals
1.79Numancia xG
0.54Calvo Sotelo xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Numancia 1.8 – 0.5 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNumancia to win ✓68%1.471.36
Double chanceNumancia or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.59
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.26
Half-time resultNumancia ahead at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Numancia / FT Numancia ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.77–

Recent results

Numancia – last 6

WDLDDD
1 Nov@ Atlético Tordesillas2–1W
29 Octvs Oviedo3–3D
24 Octvs Navalcarnero2–3L
18 Octvs CF Talavera0–0D
11 Oct@ Real Ávila1–1D
4 Oct@ Getafe II0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Calvo Sotelo – last 6

LDLDLW
1 Novvs Guadalajara1–2L
25 Oct@ Getafe II2–2D
18 Oct@ SS Reyes1–2L
11 Octvs RSD Alcalá0–0D
4 Oct@ Real Valladolid II0–3L
27 Sepvs Atlético Tordesillas1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Calvo Sotelo.

Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.26.

Who will win Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

Numancia win 68% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Calvo Sotelo 11%.

How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

Around 2.3 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

Our correct-score lean is Numancia 1–0 Calvo Sotelo – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.3.

When is Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo?

Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.