Segunda Liga Full time Estadio Marcolino de Castro

Feirense v Lusitânia Lourosa prediction

1:0
FT xG0.92 – 1.34
Feirense29%@2.88Draw22%@3.15Lusitânia Lourosa49%@2.38
67%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Over 1.5 goals

GoodFair 1.49Odds 1.32
Rating6/10
Value

Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 2.38our chance 49% vs 42% in the price · edge +18%

Picks by market

ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗49% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%

Feirense v Lusitânia Lourosa: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Feirense and Lusitânia Lourosa meet in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 8 November, with Estadio Marcolino de Castro the venue – kick-off 12:00 WAT. In the table, Feirense have 5 points from 10 games (18th, in the bottom three) and Lusitânia Lourosa have 19 (4th, in the top four). The 14-point gap says a lot about the two seasons so far.

Recent form

Feirense, last 5 games: LDLLL Their latest: 0–1 away – they lost to Penafiel. Only 0.3 goals per game – the attack has stalled.

Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5 games: DDWDW Their latest: 1–1 at home – they drew with Farense. Away record in that spell: 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals: 1.8 for and 1.2 against per game.

Lusitânia Lourosa come in with the stronger run: 2.0 points per game, compared with 0.2.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 Feirense.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Feirense 0.9 – 1.3 Lusitânia Lourosa, about 2.3 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 41% over 2.5, 45% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Feirense 29% · draw 22% · Lusitânia Lourosa 49%.
  • GG/NG: no (55%) at 1.84.
  • Value spot: Lusitânia Lourosa to win at 2.38 – 49% for us, 42% by the bookmaker.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.32. Most likely score in our grid: Feirense 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Feirense29%fair 3.48 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.15
Lusitânia Lourosa49%fair 2.02 · @2.38
2.25Expected goals
0.92Feirense xG
1.34Lusitânia Lourosa xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%

From our goals model: Feirense 0.9 – 1.3 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗49%2.022.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.31
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.821.84
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.11–

Recent results

Feirense – last 6

LDLLLL
2 Nov@ Penafiel0–1L
24 Octvs Benfica B0–0D
11 Oct@ Farense1–2L
19 Sep@ Salgueiros0–1L
13 Sep@ Chaves0–1L
5 Sepvs Sporting CP B1–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6

DDWDWW
1 Novvs Farense1–1D
25 Oct@ Felgueiras 19322–2D
18 Octvs Os Limianos2–1W
11 Octvs Chaves1–1D
20 Sep@ Madalena3–1W
14 Sep@ Sporting CP B2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Lusitânia Lourosa v Feirense1–0
Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

On our numbers Feirense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lusitânia Lourosa 49%.

How many goals will there be in Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Our predicted score is Feirense 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcolino de Castro.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.