Segunda Liga Full time CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting CP B v Tondela prediction

1:1
FT xG1.25 – 1.22
TondelaWLDWW
Sporting CP B40%@2.88Draw22%@3.15Tondela38%@2.38
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:29 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.22
Rating8/10
Value

Sporting CP B to win @ 2.88our chance 40% vs 35% in the price · edge +15%

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP B to win ✗40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%

Sporting CP B vs Tondela – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Segunda Liga action on Sunday 8 November sees Tondela travel to face Sporting CP B at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira – the whistle goes at 19:00 WAT. The standings: Sporting CP B sit 2nd on 22 points after 10 matches (inside the top four), Tondela 7th on 16 (in the upper half).

Form guide

Sporting CP B over their last 5: WWWWW Most recently they got past Leixoes 2–1 on the road. 2.3 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.

Tondela over their last 5: WLDWW Most recently they got past Felgueiras 1932 3–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 2.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Sporting CP B 1.3 – 1.2 Tondela in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Sporting CP B 40%, draw 22%, Tondela 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 58% at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Sporting CP B to win at 2.88 – we make it 40%, the odds imply 35%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Sporting CP B 1–1 Tondela. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting CP B40%fair 2.50 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.15
Tondela38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
2.47Expected goals
1.25Sporting CP B xG
1.22Tondela xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.3 – 1.2 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting CP B to win ✗40%2.502.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B ✗21%4.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

Sporting CP B – last 6

WWWWWL
31 Oct@ Leixoes2–1W
30 Oct@ Leicester City U212–1W
24 Octvs Portimonense3–0W
10 Oct@ Vizela2–0W
30 Sep@ Nottingham Forest U214–2W
14 Sepvs Lusitânia Lourosa1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tondela – last 6

WLDWWW
1 Novvs Felgueiras 19323–2W
25 Oct@ AVS1–2L
18 Octvs Alverca0–0D
10 Octvs Torreense1–0W
19 Sep@ Imortal Albufeira5–1W
12 Sep@ Portimonense2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP B and Tondela.

Sporting CP B vs Tondela head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

Sporting CP B win 40% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Tondela 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

Our correct-score lean is Sporting CP B 1–1 Tondela – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

Sporting CP B vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.