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Segunda Liga Kick-off

Portimonense v Academica prediction

PortimonenseWDLWW
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG1.21 – 1.23
AcademicaDLWWW
Portimonense39%@2.31Draw22%@3.20Academica40%@2.93
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:36 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.22
Rating8/10
Value

Academica to win @ 2.93our chance 40% vs 34% in the price · edge +16%

Picks by market

ResultAcademica to win40% · @2.93
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%

Portimonense vs Academica – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 15:00 WAT on Sunday 15 November: Portimonense take on Academica in the Segunda Liga. Going in, Portimonense are 10th with 14 points and Academica 6th with 16 – one in the lower half, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Portimonense over their last 5: WDLWW Most recently they got past FC Porto B 1–0 on the road. Scoring 1.0, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Academica over their last 5: DLWWW Most recently they shared the points with Amarante 1–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Averaging 2.5 goals a match – the front line is in form.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Portimonense 1.2 – 1.2 Academica in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Portimonense 39%, draw 22%, Academica 40%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Academica to win at 2.93 – we make it 40%, the odds imply 34%.

Verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Portimonense 1–1 Academica. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portimonense39%fair 2.59 · @2.31
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.20
Academica40%fair 2.52 · @2.93
2.44Expected goals
1.21Portimonense xG
1.23Academica xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Portimonense 1.2 – 1.2 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademica to win40%2.522.93 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.861.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academica / FT Academica21%4.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.53–

Recent results

Portimonense – last 6

WDLWWW
8 Nov@ FC Porto B1–0W
31 Octvs Torreense0–0D
24 Oct@ Sporting CP B0–3L
17 Oct@ Florgrade2–1W
10 Oct@ Amarante2–1W
19 Sep@ Castro Daire1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Academica – last 6

DLWWWW
7 Novvs Amarante1–1D
1 Nov@ Vizela1–2L
24 Octvs Leixoes4–0W
17 Octvs Amarante3–2W
11 Oct@ União de Leiria2–0W
18 Sep@ Real4–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Academica.

Portimonense vs Academica head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub
Amarante Felgueiras 1932 Tip: Both teams to score 12.3946%X2.9823%23.0231% GG56%@1.98
Tondela Farense Tip: Tondela or draw 11.9265%X3.4020%23.6814% 1X86%@1.23
Penafiel Lusitânia Lourosa Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.3646%X2.8823%23.1831% U3.573%@1.23
Leixoes Chaves Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.9846%X3.4220%23.4633% O1.575%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Academica?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Portimonense vs Academica?

Portimonense win 39% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Academica 40%.

How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Academica?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Academica?

Our correct-score lean is Portimonense 1–1 Academica – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Portimonense vs Academica?

Portimonense vs Academica (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.