National League Kick-off Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch v Tamworth prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.51 – 1.56
AFC Hornchurch39%@2.38Draw20%@3.60Tamworth41%@2.55
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:29 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
80%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strongFair 1.25Odds 1.20
Rating9/10

Picks by market

ResultTamworth to win41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

AFC Hornchurch v Tamworth is one of the National League fixtures we have priced for Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT, Hornchurch Stadium). The standings: AFC Hornchurch sit 15th on 21 points after 16 matches (in the lower half), Tamworth 20th on 17 (in the lower half).

Form guide

AFC Hornchurch over their last 5: DWLLL Most recently they shared the points with Blackpool 1–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.3 per match.

Tamworth over their last 5: LLWLL Most recently they were beaten by Everton U21 2–3 at home. Scoring 1.5, conceding 1.5 per match.

Goal forecast

Our model projects AFC Hornchurch 1.5 – 1.6 Tamworth in expected goals, roughly 3.1 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): AFC Hornchurch 39%, draw 20%, Tamworth 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 61% at 1.57.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Over 1.5 goals (80% chance, priced 1.20). Correct-score lean: AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Tamworth. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Hornchurch39%fair 2.57 · @2.38
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
Tamworth41%fair 2.42 · @2.55
3.07Expected goals
1.51AFC Hornchurch xG
1.56Tamworth xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.5 – 1.6 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTamworth to win41%2.422.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.251.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.641.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tamworth / FT Tamworth23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.70–

Recent results

AFC Hornchurch – last 6

DWLLLW
7 Novvs Blackpool1–1D
3 Novvs West Ham United U212–0W
30 Oct@ AFC Fylde1–3L
27 Octvs Yeovil Town1–2L
24 Oct@ Hartlepool1–2L
17 Oct@ Uxbridge4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tamworth – last 6

LLWLLW
3 Novvs Everton U212–3L
31 Octvs Woking0–1L
27 Octvs Scunthorpe4–1W
17 Oct@ Carlisle1–2L
10 Octvs Barrow1–2L
6 Octvs Leeds United U211–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Tamworth.

AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance, priced at 1.20.

Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?

AFC Hornchurch win 39% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Tamworth 41%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 58% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?

Our correct-score lean is AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Tamworth – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?

AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.