Scunthorpe vs Worthing – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Scunthorpe v Worthing is one of the National League fixtures we have priced for Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT, Attis Arena). The standings: Scunthorpe sit 23rd on 10 points after 15 matches (in the drop zone), Worthing 6th on 28 (in the upper half). There are 18 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Scunthorpe over their last 5: LDLLL Most recently they were beaten by Port Vale 2–4 on the road. Scoring 1.8, conceding 2.7 per match.
Worthing over their last 5: WLDWL Most recently they got past Fulham U21 2–1 at home. Scoring 1.3, conceding 2.2 per match.
On points per game, Worthing arrive in better shape – 1.2 against 0.7.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Scunthorpe 1.5 – 1.8 Worthing in expected goals, roughly 3.4 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 65% and both teams scoring at 68%. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Scunthorpe 35%, draw 18%, Worthing 47%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 68% at 1.40.
- Price worth noting: Worthing to win at 2.38 – we make it 47%, the odds imply 42%.
Verdict
We are going with Both teams to score (68% chance, priced 1.40). Correct-score lean: Scunthorpe 1–1 Worthing. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
