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Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A Full time

Maria da Fonte v Ponte da Barca prediction

Maria da FonteLLDLL
3:1
FT xG1.70 – 0.80
Ponte da BarcaWWDLL
Maria da Fonte64%@1.92Draw13%@3.42Ponte da Barca23%@3.24
64%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Maria da Fonte to win

GoodFair 1.56Odds 1.92
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultMaria da Fonte to win ✓64% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

Maria da Fonte v Ponte da Barca: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Maria da Fonte and Ponte da Barca meet in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 8 November – kick-off 16:00 WAT. In the table, Maria da Fonte have 7 points from 8 games (13th, in the bottom three) and Ponte da Barca have 10 (10th, in the bottom half). Only 3 points between them – a result here moves both teams.

Recent form

Maria da Fonte, last 5 games: LLDLL Their latest: 0–2 away – they lost to Montalegre. Only 0.7 goals per game – the attack has stalled.

Ponte da Barca, last 5 games: WWDLL Their latest: 2–1 at home – they beat Vinhais. Only 0.8 goals per game – the attack has stalled.

Ponte da Barca come in with the stronger run: 1.2 points per game, compared with 0.2.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Maria da Fonte 1.7 – 0.8 Ponte da Barca, about 2.5 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 47% over 2.5, 54% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Maria da Fonte 64% · draw 13% · Ponte da Barca 23%.
  • GG/NG: yes (54%) at 1.73.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Maria da Fonte to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.92, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Most likely score in our grid: Maria da Fonte 1–0 Ponte da Barca. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Maria da Fonte64%fair 1.56 · @1.92
Draw13%fair 7.42 · @3.42
Ponte da Barca23%fair 4.43 · @3.24
2.50Expected goals
1.70Maria da Fonte xG
0.80Ponte da Barca xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Maria da Fonte 1.7 – 0.8 Ponte da Barca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaria da Fonte to win ✓64%1.561.92 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87%1.161.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.26
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maria da Fonte / FT Maria da Fonte ✓36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Maria da Fonte – last 6

LLDLLL
1 Nov@ Montalegre0–2L
25 Octvs Bragança1–2L
11 Oct@ Maia Lidador1–1D
20 Sep@ Paredes1–5L
13 Sepvs SC Braga B0–4L
6 Sep@ Brito1–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ponte da Barca – last 6

WWDLLL
1 Novvs Vinhais2–1W
25 Oct@ Montalegre1–0W
11 Octvs Rebordosa0–0D
20 Sepvs Amarante0–2L
13 Sep@ Bragança0–3L
6 Sepvs Os Limianos2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Maria da Fonte and Ponte da Barca.

Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os Limianos8530+718
2SC Braga B8440+716
3Bragança8512+416
4Tirsense8503+415
5Chaves II8404+212
6Montalegre8332+412
7Celoricense8332+212
8Maia Lidador8323+111
9Rebordosa8242+710
10Ponte da Barca8314-410
11Vila Meã8233+19
12Brito8215-87
13Maria da Fonte8215-67
14Vinhais8008-210

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A predictions

League hub
FT Os Limianos1 SC Braga B1 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.9036%X3.1821%22.1642% O1.576%@1.24✓
FT Chaves II0 Bragança1 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.5640%X3.0422%22.4839% U3.575%@1.25✓
FT Rebordosa1 Brito1 Tip: Rebordosa to win 11.6667%X3.3422%24.5511% 167%@1.66✗
FT Tirsense2 Montalegre1 Tip: Tirsense to win 11.7762%X3.2822%23.9616% 162%@1.77✓
FT Vila Meã0 Maia Lidador1 Tip: Vila Meã to win 11.8666%X3.3022%23.5512% 166%@1.86✗
FT Vinhais2 Celoricense4 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 16.4015%X3.7419%21.4365% O1.573%@1.23✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca?

Our pick is Maria da Fonte to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.92.

Who will win Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca?

On our numbers Maria da Fonte have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ponte da Barca 23%.

How many goals will there be in Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca?

Our predicted score is Maria da Fonte 1–0 Ponte da Barca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca?

Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.