Tirsense vs Montalegre – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 16:00 WAT on Sunday 8 November: Tirsense take on Montalegre in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A, with Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo hosting. Going in, Tirsense are 4th with 15 points and Montalegre 6th with 12 – one inside the top four, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Tirsense over their last 5: WLLDW Most recently they got past Bragança 1–0 on the road. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.8 per match.
Montalegre over their last 5: WLWDD Most recently they got past Maria da Fonte 2–0 at home. Scoring 1.2, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Tirsense 1.7 – 0.7 Montalegre in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 44% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Tirsense 62%, draw 22%, Montalegre 16%.
- Safer cover: Tirsense or draw – 84% at 1.15.
- Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 1.92.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Tirsense to win (62% chance, priced 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.61, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Tirsense 1–0 Montalegre. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.













