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Friendlies Kick-off Pakhtakor Central Stadium

Uzbekistan v Russia prediction

UzbekistanLWWLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG1.14 – 1.66
RussiaDWWWW
Uzbekistan28%@3.70Draw21%@3.34Russia51%@1.98
72%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.39Odds 1.34
Rating7/10
Value

Both teams to score @ 1.92our chance 56% vs 52% in the price · edge +7%

Picks by market

ResultRussia to win51% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%

Uzbekistan v Russia: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Uzbekistan and Russia meet in the Friendlies on Thursday 12 November, with Pakhtakor Central Stadium the venue – kick-off 16:00 WAT.

Recent form

Uzbekistan, last 5 games: LWWLL Their latest: 0–2 away – they lost to South Korea. Home record in that spell: 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals: 1.5 for and 2.5 against per game.

Russia, last 5 games: DWWWW Their latest: 3–3 at home – they drew with Nigeria. 2.8 goals per game – this attack is firing. And 4 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

Russia come in with the stronger run: 2.2 points per game, compared with 1.0.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Uzbekistan 1.1 – 1.7 Russia, about 2.8 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 48% over 2.5, 56% both teams to score. Both teams' recent matches lean over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Uzbekistan 28% · draw 21% · Russia 51%.
  • GG/NG: yes (56%) at 1.92.
  • Value spot: Both teams to score at 1.92 – 56% for us, 52% by the bookmaker.

Our pick

The pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.34. Most likely score in our grid: Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Uzbekistan28%fair 3.61 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.34
Russia51%fair 1.96 · @1.98
2.80Expected goals
1.14Uzbekistan xG
1.66Russia xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.1 – 1.7 Russia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRussia to win51%1.961.98
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.801.92 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.931.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Russia / FT Russia30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.47–

Recent results

Uzbekistan – last 6

LWWLLL
6 Oct@ South Korea0–2L
1 Octvs Syria4–1W
24 Sepvs Iran3–1W
28 Jun@ Congo DR1–3L
23 Jun@ Portugal0–5L
18 Junvs Colombia1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Russia – last 6

DWWWWL
6 Octvs Nigeria3–3D
3 Octvs Namibia6–0W
29 Sepvs Iran2–0W
9 Junvs Trinidad and Tobago3–0W
5 Junvs Burkina Faso3–0W
28 May@ Egypt0–1L
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Russia.

Uzbekistan vs Russia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
New Zealand India Tip: New Zealand to win 11.2274%X5.2519%29.507% 174%@1.22
Thailand U23 Qatar U23 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.8435%X2.9622%22.3143% O1.574%@1.28
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 116.258%X6.3016%21.1176% U3.567%@1.60
Scotland U21 Ukraine U21 Tip: Ukraine U21 or draw 12.8818%X3.4655%22.0627% X282%@1.30
France U20 Denmark U20 Tip: France U20 or draw 11.4562%X3.9023%26.0015% 1X85%@1.23
Lithuania Suriname Tip: Suriname or draw 12.5530%X3.1039%22.4531% X270%@1.40
Malta Eswatini Tip: Malta to win 11.5066%X4.0021%25.0012% 166%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Uzbekistan vs Russia?

On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Russia 51%.

How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Russia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our predicted score is Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Uzbekistan vs Russia (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.