Lithuania vs Suriname – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Friendlies action on Thursday 12 November sees Suriname travel to face Lithuania – the whistle goes at 18:00 WAT.
Form guide
Lithuania over their last 5: LWDWL Most recently they were beaten by Azerbaijan 0–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Suriname over their last 5: LDWWL Most recently they were beaten by Guatemala 0–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 1.2 per match.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Lithuania 1.1 – 1.2 Suriname in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 40% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Lithuania 30%, draw 39%, Suriname 31%.
- Safer cover: Suriname or draw – 70% at 1.40.
- Both teams to score: yes – 55% at 2.00.
- Price worth noting: Draw at 3.10 – we make it 39%, the odds imply 32%.
Verdict
Ade Ola's verdict: Suriname or draw (70% chance, priced 1.40). Correct-score lean: Lithuania 1–1 Suriname. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

