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USL Championship Full time Lynn Family Stadium

Louisville City v Miami FC prediction

Louisville CityDDWWW
3:2
FT xG2.05 – 1.03
Miami FCDLLWW
Louisville City61%@1.62Draw21%@3.40Miami FC18%@4.75
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 23:10 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
61%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Both teams to score

GoodFair 1.64Odds 1.67
Rating5/10

Picks by market

ResultLouisville City to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%

Louisville City vs Miami FC – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Louisville City host Miami FC in the USL Championship at Lynn Family Stadium, kick-off 01:00 (WAT). The standings: Louisville City sit 4th on 47 points after 30 matches (inside the top four), Miami FC 8th on 36 (in the lower half).

Form guide

Louisville City over their last 5: DDWWW Most recently they shared the points with Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 0.2 per match. 5 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Miami FC over their last 5: DLLWW Most recently they shared the points with Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.2 per match.

On points per game, Louisville City arrive in better shape – 2.3 against 1.7.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (24 May 2026): Miami FC 4–3 Louisville City.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Louisville City 2.1 – 1.0 Miami FC in expected goals, roughly 3.1 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 60% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Louisville City 61%, draw 21%, Miami FC 18%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 61% at 1.67.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Both teams to score (61% chance, priced 1.67). Correct-score lean: Louisville City 2–1 Miami FC. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Louisville City61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Miami FC18%fair 5.48 · @4.75
3.08Expected goals
2.05Louisville City xG
1.03Miami FC xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Louisville City 2.1 – 1.0 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✓61%1.641.62
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.57
Half-time resultLouisville City ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Louisville City – last 6

DDWWWW
30 Octvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0D
25 Octvs Detroit City0–0D
22 Oct@ Sporting JAX2–0W
18 Octvs Indy Eleven4–1W
10 Oct@ Charleston Battery2–0W
4 Oct@ Hartford Athletic1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Miami FC – last 6

DLLWWW
31 Oct@ Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1D
18 Octvs Charleston Battery1–2L
11 Octvs Loudoun United0–2L
4 Oct@ Tampa Bay Rowdies2–1W
1 Octvs Sporting JAX4–1W
27 Sep@ Indy Eleven2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Miami FC v Louisville City4–3
Louisville City vs Miami FC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

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FT Charleston Battery3 Hartford Athletic3 Pens 5–4 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.6566%X3.5024%24.3310% O1.575%@1.25✓
FT New Mexico United4 Colorado Springs0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.1038%X3.3020%22.0542% O1.575%@1.25✓
FT Sacramento Republic2 El Paso Locomotive1 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.6260%X3.5023%24.5017% O1.574%@1.28✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Miami FC?

90Predict goes with Both teams to score – a 61% chance, priced at 1.67.

Who will win Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Louisville City win 61% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Miami FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 60% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Our correct-score lean is Louisville City 2–1 Miami FC – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Louisville City vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.