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USL Championship Full time Heart Health Park

Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive prediction

Sacramento RepublicWWWDD
2:1
FT xG1.81 – 0.83
El Paso LocomotiveWLLWL
Sacramento Republic60%@1.62Draw23%@3.50El Paso Locomotive17%@4.50
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 23:43 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
74%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.36Odds 1.28
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

USL Championship action on Sunday 8 November sees El Paso Locomotive travel to face Sacramento Republic at Heart Health Park – the whistle goes at 04:00 WAT. Going in, Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51 points and El Paso Locomotive 3rd with 50 – one inside the top four, the other inside the top four. A gap of just 1 point, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Sacramento Republic over their last 5: WWWDD Most recently they got past FC Tulsa 1–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 4. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.0 per match.

El Paso Locomotive over their last 5: WLLWL Most recently they got past San Antonio 2–1 at home. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.3 per match.

On points per game, Sacramento Republic arrive in better shape – 2.3 against 1.2.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (18 Oct 2026): El Paso Locomotive 0–1 Sacramento Republic. Across 2 meetings on record, Sacramento Republic have won 1, El Paso Locomotive 1 and 0 finished level, averaging 2.0 goals – both teams found the net in 1 of them.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Sacramento Republic 1.8 – 0.8 El Paso Locomotive in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 50% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Sacramento Republic 60%, draw 23%, El Paso Locomotive 17%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 51% at 1.83.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.28). Correct-score lean: Sacramento Republic 2–0 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sacramento Republic60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
El Paso Locomotive17%fair 6.02 · @4.50
2.64Expected goals
1.81Sacramento Republic xG
0.83El Paso Locomotive xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.8 – 0.8 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓60%1.661.62
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓83%1.201.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Half-time resultSacramento Republic ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.31–

Recent results

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WWWDDW
2 Novvs FC Tulsa1–0W
25 Octvs Oakland Roots3–2W
18 Oct@ El Paso Locomotive1–0W
11 Octvs Colorado Springs1–1D
4 Oct@ FC Tulsa1–1D
1 Octvs Las Vegas Lights3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

WLLWLD
31 Octvs San Antonio2–1W
25 Octvs New Mexico United0–1L
18 Octvs Sacramento Republic0–1L
11 Octvs Orange County SC2–1W
4 Oct@ Lexington1–3L
26 Sepvs FC Tulsa1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Oct 2026El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic0–1
29 Mar 2026Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive1–2
Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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FT Louisville City3 Miami FC2 Tip: Both teams to score 11.6261%X3.4021%24.7518% GG61%@1.67✓
FT Charleston Battery3 Hartford Athletic3 Pens 5–4 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.6566%X3.5024%24.3310% O1.575%@1.25✓
FT New Mexico United4 Colorado Springs0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.1038%X3.3020%22.0542% O1.575%@1.25✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance, priced at 1.28.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Sacramento Republic win 60% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, El Paso Locomotive 17%.

How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 50% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our correct-score lean is Sacramento Republic 2–0 El Paso Locomotive – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.