SAFF Championship Full time Bangabandhu National Stadium

India v Maldives prediction

IndiaLLDDL
1:0
FT xG2.75 – 0.95
India73%@1.07Draw18%@8.20Maldives9%@15.50
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:24 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
70%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Over 2.5 goals

StrongFair 1.43Odds 1.33
Rating7/10
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.32our chance 53% vs 43% in the price · edge +22%

Picks by market

ResultIndia to win ✓73% · @1.07
Double chanceIndia or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.32
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

India vs Maldives – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 10:30 WAT on Wednesday 11 November: India take on Maldives in the SAFF Championship, with Bangabandhu National Stadium hosting. Going in, India are 2nd with 3 points and Maldives 3rd with 0. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

India over their last 5: LLDDL Most recently they were beaten by Uruguay 1–6 at home. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Maldives over their last 5: LLLDL Most recently they were beaten by Lebanon 0–6 at home. Just 0.5 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Goal forecast

Our model projects India 2.8 – 1.0 Maldives in expected goals, roughly 3.7 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 70% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): India 73%, draw 18%, Maldives 9%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 53% at 2.32.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 2.32 – we make it 53%, the odds imply 43%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70% chance, priced 1.33). Correct-score lean: India 2–1 Maldives. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

India73%fair 1.37 · @1.07
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @8.20
Maldives9%fair 11.69 · @15.50
3.70Expected goals
2.75India xG
0.95Maldives xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%

From our goals model: India 2.8 – 1.0 Maldives expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndia to win ✓73%1.371.07
Double chanceIndia or draw ✓91%1.091.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.32 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.151.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.431.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.991.80
Half-time resultIndia ahead at half-time ✓56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT India / FT India ✓52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

India – last 6

LLDDLL
6 Octvs Uruguay1–6L
3 Octvs Brazil0–4L
25 Sepvs Panama1–1D
9 Jun@ Tajikistan1–1D
5 Jun@ Tajikistan1–3L
27 May@ Jamaica0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Maldives – last 6

LLLDLW
1 Octvs Lebanon0–6L
28 Sep@ Kyrgyzstan0–5L
24 Sep@ China0–3L
7 Junvs Bangladesh U231–1D
4 Junvs Pakistan0–3L
31 Marvs Timor-Leste2–1W
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between India and Maldives.

India vs Maldives head-to-head page →

SAFF Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pakistan2101+23
2India1100+13
3Maldives1001-30

More SAFF Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for India vs Maldives?

90Predict goes with Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance, priced at 1.33.

Who will win India vs Maldives?

India win 73% of the time on our model, the draw 18%, Maldives 9%.

How many goals will there be in India vs Maldives?

Around 3.7 goals on our projection – 70% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for India vs Maldives?

Our correct-score lean is India 2–1 Maldives – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.7.

When is India vs Maldives?

India vs Maldives (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.