Bangladesh v Sri Lanka prediction
Bangladesh59%@1.85Draw19%@3.20Sri Lanka21%@3.80
83%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗
Under 3.5 goals
Very strongFair 1.21Odds 1.22
ValueBangladesh to win @ 1.85our chance 59% vs 54% in the price · edge +10%
Picks by market
ResultBangladesh to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%
Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
SAFF Championship action on Wednesday 11 November sees Sri Lanka travel to face Bangladesh at Bangabandhu National Stadium – the whistle goes at 15:00 WAT. The standings: Bangladesh sit 1st on 3 points after 1 matches, Sri Lanka 2nd on 1. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Bangladesh over their last 5: LLLWL Most recently they were beaten by Indonesia 2–9 on the road. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Sri Lanka over their last 5: WLWWW Most recently they got past Mauritius 3–2 on the road. Away from home in that run: 4 wins, 1 defeat in 5. 2.5 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.
On points per game, Sri Lanka arrive in better shape – 2.5 against 0.5.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Bangladesh 1.3 – 0.6 Sri Lanka in expected goals, roughly 1.8 combined. That points to a tight, low-scoring affair – under 2.5 rates 65%. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Bangladesh 59%, draw 19%, Sri Lanka 21%.
- Both teams to score: no – 51% at 1.80.
- Price worth noting: Bangladesh to win at 1.85 – we make it 59%, the odds imply 54%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Bangladesh 1–0 Sri Lanka. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bangladesh59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.20
Sri Lanka21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
1.84Expected goals
1.28Bangladesh xG
0.56Sri Lanka xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bangladesh 1.3 – 0.6 Sri Lanka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | Bangladesh to win ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bangladesh / FT Bangladesh ✓ | 32% | 3.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 4.90 | – |
Recent results
Bangladesh – last 6
LLLWLL
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sri Lanka – last 6
WLWWWW
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.
Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka head-to-head page →
SAFF Championship table
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance, priced at 1.22.
Who will win Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Bangladesh win 59% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Sri Lanka 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Around 1.8 goals on our projection – 35% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Our correct-score lean is Bangladesh 1–0 Sri Lanka – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 1.8.
When is Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
India1
Maldives0