AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 07:53 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
65%chance
90Predict pick
Under 3.5 goals
GoodFair 1.53Odds 1.53
Rating6/10
Picks by market
ResultSpain U21 to win39% · @1.33
Double chanceSpain U21 or draw75%
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–04%
Spain U21 vs Japan U21 – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
On the 90Predict board for Friday 13 November: Spain U21 host Japan U21 in the Friendlies, kick-off 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Spain U21 over their last 5: WWLWW Most recently they got past Romania U21 7–1 at home. Averaging 6.0 goals a match – the front line is in form. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Spain U21 1.5 – 1.2 Japan U21 in expected goals, roughly 2.8 combined. A middling goal outlook: 56% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Spain U21 39%, draw 36%, Japan U21 25%.
Both teams to score: no – 50% at 1.80.
Verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (65% chance, priced 1.53). Correct-score lean: Spain U21 1–1 Japan U21. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spain U2139%fair 2.54 · @1.33
Draw36%fair 2.79 · @5.00
Japan U2125%fair 4.02 · @6.00
2.76Expected goals
1.54Spain U21 xG
1.22Japan U21 xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spain U21 1.5 – 1.2 Japan U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain U21 to win
39%
2.54
1.33
Double chance
Spain U21 or draw
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain U21 / FT Spain U21
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
4%
25.99
–
Recent results
Spain U21 – last 5
WWLWW
6 Oct
vs Romania U21
7–1
W
1 Oct
@ San Marino U21
13–0
W
25 Sep
@ Finland U21
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Kosovo U21
2–0
W
27 Mar
@ Cyprus U21
7–0
W
6.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Japan U21 – last 1
W
8 Jun
vs Ukraine U21
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain U21 and Japan U21.
What is the prediction for Spain U21 vs Japan U21?
90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance, priced at 1.53.
Who will win Spain U21 vs Japan U21?
Spain U21 win 39% of the time on our model, the draw 36%, Japan U21 25%.
How many goals will there be in Spain U21 vs Japan U21?
Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 56% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Spain U21 vs Japan U21?
Our correct-score lean is Spain U21 1–1 Japan U21 – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.8.
When is Spain U21 vs Japan U21?
Spain U21 vs Japan U21 (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.