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UEFA Nations League Kick-off

Norway v Wales prediction

NorwayLLLWD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG2.29 – 0.77
WalesLWLLL
Norway72%@1.22Draw16%@7.00Wales12%@10.00
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 00:41 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
72%chance
90Predict pick

Norway to win

StrongFair 1.38Odds 1.22
Rating7/10
Value

Both teams to score @ 1.91our chance 57% vs 52% in the price · edge +9%

Picks by market

ResultNorway to win72% · @1.22
Double chanceNorway or draw88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Norway vs Wales – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

UEFA Nations League action on Saturday 14 November sees Wales travel to face Norway – the whistle goes at 18:00 WAT. Going in, Norway are 4th with 3 points and Wales 3rd with 3. Level on points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Norway over their last 5: LLLWD Most recently they were beaten by Portugal 1–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 1.7 per match.

Wales over their last 5: LWLLL Most recently they were beaten by Denmark 0–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

On points per game, Norway arrive in better shape – 1.2 against 0.7.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (1 Oct 2026): Wales 2–1 Norway.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Norway 2.3 – 0.8 Wales in expected goals, roughly 3.1 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 62% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Norway 72%, draw 16%, Wales 12%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 1.91 – we make it 57%, the odds imply 52%.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Norway to win (72% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Norway 2–0 Wales. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Norway72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.33 · @7.00
Wales12%fair 8.49 · @10.00
3.07Expected goals
2.29Norway xG
0.77Wales xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Norway 2.3 – 0.8 Wales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorway to win72%1.381.22
Double chanceNorway or draw88%1.131.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.211.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.611.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals59%1.681.67
Half-time resultNorway ahead at half-time52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Norway / FT Norway48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.56–

Recent results

Norway – last 6

LLLWDW
4 Oct@ Portugal1–2L
1 Oct@ Wales1–2L
27 Sepvs Portugal1–2L
24 Sepvs Denmark3–2W
11 Julvs England1–1D
5 Jul@ Brazil2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Wales – last 6

LWLLLD
4 Octvs Denmark0–1L
1 Octvs Norway2–1W
27 Sep@ Denmark0–2L
24 Sep@ Portugal0–1L
6 Jun@ Romania1–2L
2 Junvs Ghana1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Wales v Norway2–1
Norway vs Wales head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal4400+512
2Denmark420206
3Wales4103-33
4Norway4103-23

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Kosovo Israel Tip: Kosovo or draw 11.8565%X3.4022%24.2013% 1X87%@1.22
Georgia Hungary Tip: Under 2.5 goals 13.3030%X3.0023%22.3047% U2.568%@1.53
Portugal Denmark Tip: Over 2.5 goals 11.4862%X4.7522%25.5016% O2.564%@1.48
Northern Ireland Ukraine Tip: Under 2.5 goals 12.3048%X2.9023%23.0029% U2.566%@1.53
Austria Rep. Of Ireland Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5764%X4.0022%25.5014% O1.577%@1.25
Romania Poland Tip: Poland or draw 13.9019%X3.5021%21.9060% X281%@1.25
Sweden Bosnia & Herzegovina Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.5065%X4.2021%26.0014% U3.566%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Norway vs Wales?

90Predict goes with Norway to win – a 72% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Norway vs Wales?

Norway win 72% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Wales 12%.

How many goals will there be in Norway vs Wales?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 62% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Norway vs Wales?

Our correct-score lean is Norway 2–0 Wales – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is Norway vs Wales?

Norway vs Wales (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.