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Portugal v Denmark prediction

PortugalWWWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG2.25 – 1.08
DenmarkWLWLD
Portugal62%@1.48Draw22%@4.75Denmark16%@5.50
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:48 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
64%chance
90Predict pick

Over 2.5 goals

GoodFair 1.56Odds 1.48
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultPortugal to win62% · @1.48
Double chancePortugal or draw84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Portugal vs Denmark – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Saturday 14 November: Portugal host Denmark in the UEFA Nations League, kick-off 20:45 (WAT). Going in, Portugal are 1st with 12 points and Denmark 2nd with 6.

Form guide

Portugal over their last 5: WWWWL Most recently they got past Norway 2–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 1 defeat in 4. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.0 per match.

Denmark over their last 5: WLWLD Most recently they got past Wales 1–0 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.2 per match. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Portugal arrive in better shape – 2.5 against 1.7.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (1 Oct 2026): Denmark 2–4 Portugal.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Portugal 2.2 – 1.1 Denmark in expected goals, roughly 3.3 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 64% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Portugal 62%, draw 22%, Denmark 16%.
  • Safer cover: Portugal or draw – 84% at 1.14.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 60% at 1.62.

Verdict

We are going with Over 2.5 goals (64% chance, priced 1.48). Correct-score lean: Portugal 2–1 Denmark. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portugal62%fair 1.60 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.75
Denmark16%fair 6.37 · @5.50
3.32Expected goals
2.25Portugal xG
1.08Denmark xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Portugal 2.2 – 1.1 Denmark expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortugal to win62%1.601.48
Double chancePortugal or draw84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.681.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.201.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.561.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.741.62
Half-time resultPortugal ahead at half-time47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portugal / FT Portugal42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.21–

Recent results

Portugal – last 6

WWWWLW
4 Octvs Norway2–1W
1 Oct@ Denmark4–2W
27 Sep@ Norway2–1W
24 Sepvs Wales1–0W
6 Julvs Spain0–1L
3 Julvs Croatia2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Denmark – last 6

WLWLDW
4 Oct@ Wales1–0W
1 Octvs Portugal2–4L
27 Sepvs Wales2–0W
24 Sep@ Norway2–3L
3 Jun@ Congo DR0–0D
26 Marvs FYR Macedonia4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Denmark v Portugal2–4
Portugal vs Denmark head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal4400+512
2Denmark420206
3Wales4103-33
4Norway4103-23

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Kosovo Israel Tip: Kosovo or draw 11.8565%X3.4022%24.2013% 1X87%@1.22
Norway Wales Tip: Norway to win 11.2272%X7.0016%210.0012% 172%@1.22
Georgia Hungary Tip: Under 2.5 goals 13.3030%X3.0023%22.3047% U2.568%@1.53
Northern Ireland Ukraine Tip: Under 2.5 goals 12.3048%X2.9023%23.0029% U2.566%@1.53
Austria Rep. Of Ireland Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5764%X4.0022%25.5014% O1.577%@1.25
Romania Poland Tip: Poland or draw 13.9019%X3.5021%21.9060% X281%@1.25
Sweden Bosnia & Herzegovina Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.5065%X4.2021%26.0014% U3.566%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portugal vs Denmark?

90Predict goes with Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance, priced at 1.48.

Who will win Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal win 62% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Denmark 16%.

How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Denmark?

Around 3.3 goals on our projection – 64% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Denmark?

Our correct-score lean is Portugal 2–1 Denmark – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.3.

When is Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal vs Denmark (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.