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Northern Ireland v Ukraine prediction

Northern IrelandDWDWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.13 – 0.77
UkraineLLDWW
Northern Ireland48%@2.30Draw23%@2.90Ukraine29%@3.00
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 00:52 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
66%chance
90Predict pick

Under 2.5 goals

GoodFair 1.52Odds 1.53
Rating6/10
Value

Northern Ireland to win @ 2.30our chance 48% vs 43% in the price · edge +11%

Picks by market

ResultNorthern Ireland to win48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017%

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Northern Ireland v Ukraine is one of the UEFA Nations League fixtures we have priced for Saturday 14 November (20:45 WAT). The standings: Northern Ireland sit 1st on 8 points after 4 matches, Ukraine 3rd on 4.

Form guide

Northern Ireland over their last 5: DWDWL Most recently they shared the points with Georgia 0–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 0.5 per match. 5 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Ukraine over their last 5: LLDWW Most recently they were beaten by Hungary 1–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (2 Oct 2026): Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Northern Ireland 1.1 – 0.8 Ukraine in expected goals, roughly 1.9 combined. That points to a tight, low-scoring affair – under 2.5 rates 66%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Northern Ireland 48%, draw 23%, Ukraine 29%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 50% at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Northern Ireland to win at 2.30 – we make it 48%, the odds imply 43%.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Under 2.5 goals (66% chance, priced 1.53). Correct-score lean: Northern Ireland 1–0 Ukraine. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northern Ireland48%fair 2.07 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @2.90
Ukraine29%fair 3.49 · @3.00
1.90Expected goals
1.13Northern Ireland xG
0.77Ukraine xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Northern Ireland 1.1 – 0.8 Ukraine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthern Ireland to win48%2.072.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.981.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals61%1.651.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals66%1.521.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals83%1.201.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Northern Ireland / FT Northern Ireland25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017%5.89–

Recent results

Northern Ireland – last 6

DWDWLW
5 Octvs Georgia0–0D
2 Oct@ Ukraine3–0W
28 Sepvs Hungary0–0D
25 Sep@ Georgia1–0W
8 Jun@ France1–3L
4 Junvs Guinea1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ukraine – last 6

LLDWWW
5 Octvs Hungary1–2L
2 Octvs Northern Ireland0–3L
28 Sep@ Georgia0–0D
25 Sep@ Hungary1–0W
31 May@ Poland2–0W
31 Marvs Albania1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Ukraine v Northern Ireland0–3
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Ireland4220+48
2Hungary4211+17
3Ukraine4112-34
4Georgia4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Kosovo Israel Tip: Kosovo or draw 11.8565%X3.4022%24.2013% 1X87%@1.22
Norway Wales Tip: Norway to win 11.2272%X7.0016%210.0012% 172%@1.22
Georgia Hungary Tip: Under 2.5 goals 13.3030%X3.0023%22.3047% U2.568%@1.53
Portugal Denmark Tip: Over 2.5 goals 11.4862%X4.7522%25.5016% O2.564%@1.48
Austria Rep. Of Ireland Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5764%X4.0022%25.5014% O1.577%@1.25
Romania Poland Tip: Poland or draw 13.9019%X3.5021%21.9060% X281%@1.25
Sweden Bosnia & Herzegovina Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.5065%X4.2021%26.0014% U3.566%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

90Predict goes with Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance, priced at 1.53.

Who will win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland win 48% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Ukraine 29%.

How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Around 1.9 goals on our projection – 34% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Our correct-score lean is Northern Ireland 1–0 Ukraine – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 1.9.

When is Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.