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Slovenia v Switzerland prediction

SloveniaWLWDL
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG0.74 – 1.75
SwitzerlandWWWWD
Slovenia16%@6.00Draw22%@3.60Switzerland62%@1.60
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:31 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.25
Rating8/10
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.00our chance 54% vs 50% in the price · edge +8%

Picks by market

ResultSwitzerland to win62% · @1.60
Double chanceSwitzerland or draw84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Slovenia vs Switzerland – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Slovenia v Switzerland is one of the UEFA Nations League fixtures we have priced for Friday 13 November (20:45 WAT, Ljudski vrt). Going in, Slovenia are 2nd with 7 points and Switzerland 1st with 12.

Form guide

Slovenia over their last 5: WLWDL Most recently they got past Scotland 2–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 1.0 per match.

Switzerland over their last 5: WWWWD Most recently they got past FYR Macedonia 3–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Averaging 2.0 goals a match – the front line is in form. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Switzerland arrive in better shape – 2.3 against 1.3.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (3 Oct 2026): Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Slovenia 0.7 – 1.8 Switzerland in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Slovenia 16%, draw 22%, Switzerland 62%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 54%, the odds imply 50%.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.25). Correct-score lean: Slovenia 0–1 Switzerland. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Slovenia16%fair 6.31 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.60
Switzerland62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
2.50Expected goals
0.74Slovenia xG
1.75Switzerland xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Slovenia 0.7 – 1.8 Switzerland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSwitzerland to win62%1.611.60
Double chanceSwitzerland or draw84%1.191.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.842.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.331.25
Half-time resultSwitzerland ahead at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Switzerland / FT Switzerland38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.64–

Recent results

Slovenia – last 6

WLWDLD
6 Oct@ Scotland2–1W
3 Oct@ Switzerland1–2L
29 Sepvs FYR Macedonia2–0W
26 Sepvs Scotland0–0D
7 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
4 Junvs Cyprus1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Switzerland – last 6

WWWWDD
6 Octvs FYR Macedonia3–0W
3 Octvs Slovenia2–1W
29 Sep@ Scotland3–0W
26 Sep@ FYR Macedonia3–0W
12 Jul@ Argentina1–1D
7 Julvs Colombia0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Switzerland v Slovenia2–1
Slovenia vs Switzerland head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland4400+1012
2Slovenia4211+27
3Scotland4112-24
4FYR Macedonia4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Moldova Kazakhstan Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.6037%X3.0023%22.8840% O1.568%@1.44
Serbia Germany Tip: Germany to win 18.0013%X6.0015%21.3072% 272%@1.30
Netherlands Greece Tip: Netherlands to win 11.5067%X4.5019%26.0014% 167%@1.50
Slovakia Faroe Islands Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.3666%X4.5018%28.5016% O1.575%@1.25
Bulgaria Iceland Tip: Iceland or draw 14.3312%X3.6023%21.8065% X288%@1.20
Liechtenstein Azerbaijan Tip: Under 3.5 goals 114.008%X5.1520%21.2872% U3.582%@1.22
Luxembourg Estonia Tip: Under 2.5 goals 12.1537%X3.1022%23.5041% U2.566%@1.50
Andorra Gibraltar Tip: Under 2.5 goals 11.9061%X3.0824%25.2016% U2.574%@1.32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slovenia vs Switzerland?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.25.

Who will win Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Slovenia win 16% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Switzerland 62%.

How many goals will there be in Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Our correct-score lean is Slovenia 0–1 Switzerland – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Slovenia vs Switzerland?

Slovenia vs Switzerland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.