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Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Kick-off Stade du 4 Aout

Burkina Faso v Mauritania prediction

Burkina FasoLWDDL
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG1.72 – 0.67
MauritaniaLWWDL
Burkina Faso62%@1.53Draw24%@3.72Mauritania14%@6.37
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:44 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
67%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

GoodFair 1.49Odds 1.43
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultBurkina Faso to win62% · @1.53
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification action on Friday 13 November sees Mauritania travel to face Burkina Faso at Stade du 4 Aout – the whistle goes at 17:00 WAT. The standings: Burkina Faso sit 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches, Mauritania 3rd on 7. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Burkina Faso over their last 5: LWDDL Most recently they were beaten by Argentina 0–7 on the road. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Mauritania over their last 5: LWWDL Most recently they were beaten by Benin 1–2 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 4. Scoring 1.4, conceding 1.2 per match.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Burkina Faso 1.7 – 0.7 Mauritania in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 42% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Burkina Faso 62%, draw 24%, Mauritania 14%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 51% at 1.54.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Over 1.5 goals (67% chance, priced 1.43). Correct-score lean: Burkina Faso 2–0 Mauritania. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burkina Faso62%fair 1.61 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.72
Mauritania14%fair 7.39 · @6.37
2.39Expected goals
1.72Burkina Faso xG
0.67Mauritania xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Burkina Faso 1.7 – 0.7 Mauritania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurkina Faso to win62%1.611.53
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw86%1.161.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.951.54
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.491.43
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.721.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.281.16
Half-time resultBurkina Faso ahead at half-time44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.35–

Recent results

Burkina Faso – last 6

LWDDLD
4 Oct@ Argentina0–7L
28 Sep@ Central African Republic1–0W
25 Sepvs Benin1–1D
9 Jun@ Belarus2–2D
5 Jun@ Russia0–3L
31 Marvs Guinea-Bissau1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mauritania – last 5

LWWDL
29 Sep@ Benin1–2L
24 Sepvs Central African Republic3–1W
8 Jun@ Niger1–0W
5 Jun@ Angola1–1D
28 Mar@ Argentina1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burkina Faso and Mauritania.

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

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Mozambique Ethiopia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5463%X3.7424%26.1313% O1.567%@1.36
Zambia Burundi Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5862%X3.6225%25.8513% O1.570%@1.39
Cape Verde Islands Liberia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2565%X5.1020%212.0015% O1.574%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.2268%X5.4520%213.0012% U3.574%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1175%X7.5018%218.507% U3.565%@1.47
South Africa Kenya Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.2766%X4.9018%211.3016% U3.574%@1.22
Tunisia Libya Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2674%X5.0020%211.707% O1.572%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance, priced at 1.43.

Who will win Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Burkina Faso win 62% of the time on our model, the draw 24%, Mauritania 14%.

How many goals will there be in Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 42% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Our correct-score lean is Burkina Faso 2–0 Mauritania – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 4 Aout.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.