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Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Kick-off Orlando Stadium

South Africa v Kenya prediction

South AfricaWWWLW
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG1.87 – 0.73
KenyaLDWDW
South Africa66%@1.27Draw18%@4.90Kenya16%@11.30
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:55 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
74%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.35Odds 1.22
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultSouth Africa to win66% · @1.27
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw84%
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014%

South Africa vs Kenya – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Friday 13 November: South Africa host Kenya in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification at Orlando Stadium, kick-off 17:00 (WAT). Going in, South Africa are 1st with 14 points and Kenya 3rd with 6.

Form guide

South Africa over their last 5: WWWLW Most recently they got past Egypt 1–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.5 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Kenya over their last 5: LDWDW Most recently they were beaten by Guinea 0–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 0.6 per match. 2 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, South Africa arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 1.6.

Goal forecast

Our model projects South Africa 1.9 – 0.7 Kenya in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 47% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): South Africa 66%, draw 18%, Kenya 16%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 50% at 1.38.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: South Africa 1–0 Kenya. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Africa66%fair 1.51 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @4.90
Kenya16%fair 6.26 · @11.30
2.60Expected goals
1.87South Africa xG
0.73Kenya xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: South Africa 1.9 – 0.7 Kenya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Africa to win66%1.511.27
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw84%1.19–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%2.001.38
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.881.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.22
Half-time resultSouth Africa ahead at half-time45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Africa / FT South Africa41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014%7.19–

Recent results

South Africa – last 6

WWWLWD
4 Oct@ Egypt1–0W
30 Sep@ Eritrea5–0W
26 Sepvs Guinea2–1W
28 Junvs Canada0–1L
25 Junvs South Korea1–0W
18 Jun@ Czechia1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kenya – last 5

LDWDW
1 Oct@ Guinea0–1L
26 Sepvs Eritrea1–1D
7 Junvs Lesotho4–0W
4 Jun@ Lesotho1–1D
30 Mar@ Grenada3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Kenya.

South Africa vs Kenya head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameroon6420+614
2Zimbabwe6231+29
3Kenya6132-36
4Namibia6024-52

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo Tip: Comoros to win 11.8358%X3.2026%24.5615% 158%@1.83
Mozambique Ethiopia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5463%X3.7424%26.1313% O1.567%@1.36
Zambia Burundi Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.6261%X3.5425%25.5714% O1.569%@1.40
Burkina Faso Mauritania Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5362%X3.7224%26.3714% O1.567%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2565%X5.1020%212.0015% O1.574%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.2268%X5.4520%213.0012% U3.574%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1175%X7.5018%218.507% U3.565%@1.47
Tunisia Libya Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.2674%X5.0020%211.707% U3.574%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Africa vs Kenya?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win South Africa vs Kenya?

South Africa win 66% of the time on our model, the draw 18%, Kenya 16%.

How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Kenya?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Kenya?

Our correct-score lean is South Africa 1–0 Kenya – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is South Africa vs Kenya?

South Africa vs Kenya (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Orlando Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.