Gabon v Lesotho Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGabon to win68% · @1.22

Double chanceGabon or draw88% · fair 1.14

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.39

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 6.02

Gabon v Lesotho: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Next up in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification: Gabon against Lesotho, Friday 13 November at 17:00 WAT (Stade de Franceville). In the table, Gabon have 10 points from 6 games (2nd) and Lesotho have 4 (3rd).

Recent form

Gabon, last 3 games: WLL Their latest: 2–0 at home – they beat Niger. Goals: 1.0 for and 1.7 against per game.

Lesotho, last 5 games: LLLDW Their latest: 0–2 at home – they lost to Morocco. Away record in that spell: 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Only 0.7 goals per game – the attack has stalled.

The numbers on goals

90Predict' expected goals: Gabon 1.8 – 0.6 Lesotho, about 2.4 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 46% over 2.5, 44% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

1X2 on our numbers: Gabon 68% · draw 20% · Lesotho 12%.
GG/NG: no (56%) at 1.39.

Our pick

90Predict pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Most likely score in our grid: Gabon 1–0 Lesotho. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Gabon68%fair 1.47 · @1.22

Draw20%fair 5.09 · @5.45

Lesotho12%fair 8.12 · @13.00

2.38Expected goals

1.80Gabon xG

0.58Lesotho xG

44%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

2–015%

1–110%

0–09%

3–09%

2–19%

From our goals model: Gabon 1.8 – 0.6 Lesotho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gabon to win	68%	1.47	1.22
Double chance	Gabon or draw	88%	1.14	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.80	1.39
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.42	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	54%	1.85	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	74%	1.34	1.28
Half-time result	Gabon ahead at half-time	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gabon / FT Gabon	42%	2.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	17%	6.02	–

Gabon – last 3

WLL

29 Sep	vs Niger	2–0	W
25 Sep	@ Morocco	0–2	L
27 Mar	@ Uzbekistan	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Lesotho – last 6

LLLDWD

29 Sep	vs Morocco	0–2	L
25 Sep	@ Niger	1–2	L
7 Jun	@ Kenya	0–4	L
4 Jun	vs Kenya	1–1	D
29 Mar	vs Seychelles	2–1	W
26 Mar	@ Seychelles	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	+24	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	-2	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	-11	4
4	Central African Republic	6	1	0	5	-11	3

Team

Pts

Morocco

+24

Gabon

-2

Lesotho

-11

Central African Republic

-11

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gabon vs Lesotho?

On our numbers Gabon have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lesotho 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gabon vs Lesotho?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our predicted score is Gabon 1–0 Lesotho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gabon vs Lesotho?

Gabon vs Lesotho (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Franceville.

Numbers from 90Predict' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gabon v Lesotho: numbers & prediction