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Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Kick-off Essipong Stadium

Ghana v Somalia prediction

GhanaLLLLD
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG2.31 – 0.59
SomaliaLLDD
Ghana75%@1.05Draw19%@10.20Somalia6%@26.00
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:05 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
62%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

GoodFair 1.62Odds 1.65
Rating5/10

Picks by market

ResultGhana to win75% · @1.05
Double chanceGhana or draw94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–011%

Ghana vs Somalia – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification action on Thursday 12 November sees Somalia travel to face Ghana at Essipong Stadium – the whistle goes at 16:00 WAT.

Form guide

Ghana over their last 5: LLLLD Most recently they were beaten by Gambia 2–4 at home. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Somalia over their last 4: LLDD Most recently they were beaten by Ivory Coast 0–2 at home. Just 0.3 goals per match – chances are not being taken. 2 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Ghana 2.3 – 0.6 Somalia in expected goals, roughly 2.9 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for three or more goals, 46% for GG. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Ghana 75%, draw 19%, Somalia 6%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 54% at 1.30.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Under 3.5 goals (62% chance, priced 1.65). Correct-score lean: Ghana 2–0 Somalia. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ghana75%fair 1.34 · @1.05
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @10.20
Somalia6%fair 15.43 · @26.00
2.90Expected goals
2.31Ghana xG
0.59Somalia xG
46%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ghana 2.3 – 0.6 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGhana to win75%1.341.05
Double chanceGhana or draw94%1.071.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.871.30
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals60%1.681.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals62%1.621.65
Half-time resultGhana ahead at half-time55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ghana / FT Ghana51%1.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–011%8.90–

Recent results

Ghana – last 6

LLLLDW
29 Sepvs Gambia2–4L
24 Sep@ Ivory Coast0–2L
4 Jul@ Colombia0–1L
27 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
23 Jun@ England0–0D
18 Junvs Panama1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Somalia – last 4

LLDD
29 Sepvs Ivory Coast0–2L
25 Sep@ Gambia1–2L
31 Mar@ Mauritius0–0D
27 Marvs Mauritius0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ghana and Somalia.

Ghana vs Somalia head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Angola6420+514
2Sudan6222-28
3Niger6213+17
4Ghana6033-43

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Congo DR Sierra Leone Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2071%X5.7517%214.2012% O1.574%@1.24
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4139%X3.0423%22.9838% O1.567%@1.42
Guinea Eritrea Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1472%X6.8019%215.509% U3.565%@1.49
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.1125%X3.0623%22.3252% O1.566%@1.41
Benin Central African Republic Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5461%X3.7820%26.0319% O1.569%@1.32
Cameroon Namibia Tip: Cameroon to win 11.2669%X4.8519%212.5012% 169%@1.26
Ivory Coast Gambia Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1774%X6.3016%214.4010% U3.564%@1.39
Senegal Sudan Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.0775%X8.9017%224.007% U3.562%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ghana vs Somalia?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance, priced at 1.65.

Who will win Ghana vs Somalia?

Ghana win 75% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Somalia 6%.

How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Somalia?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 60% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Somalia?

Our correct-score lean is Ghana 2–0 Somalia – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Ghana vs Somalia?

Ghana vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Essipong Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.