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Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Kick-off Stade du 28 Septembre

Guinea v Eritrea prediction

GuineaWLLLD
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG2.26 – 0.66
EritreaLDWW
Guinea73%@1.12Draw19%@7.20Eritrea8%@17.50
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:24 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
64%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

GoodFair 1.57Odds 1.52
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultGuinea to win73% · @1.12
Double chanceGuinea or draw92% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.46
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010%

Guinea vs Eritrea – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Guinea v Eritrea is one of the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixtures we have priced for Thursday 12 November (17:00 WAT, Stade du 28 Septembre).

Form guide

Guinea over their last 5: WLLLD Most recently they got past Kenya 1–0 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Eritrea over their last 4: LDWW Most recently they were beaten by South Africa 0–5 at home. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.8 per match.

On points per game, Eritrea arrive in better shape – 1.8 against 0.8.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Guinea 2.3 – 0.7 Eritrea in expected goals, roughly 2.9 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 58% and both teams scoring at 47%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Guinea 73%, draw 19%, Eritrea 8%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 53% at 1.46.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Under 3.5 goals (64% chance, priced 1.52). Correct-score lean: Guinea 2–0 Eritrea. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guinea73%fair 1.37 · @1.12
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @7.20
Eritrea8%fair 11.93 · @17.50
2.92Expected goals
2.26Guinea xG
0.66Eritrea xG
47%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Guinea 2.3 – 0.7 Eritrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuinea to win73%1.371.12
Double chanceGuinea or draw92%1.091.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.901.46
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.52
Half-time resultGuinea ahead at half-time53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guinea / FT Guinea49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010%9.65–

Recent results

Guinea – last 5

WLLLD
1 Octvs Kenya1–0W
26 Sep@ South Africa1–2L
4 Jun@ Northern Ireland0–1L
31 Marvs Benin0–1L
27 Marvs Togo2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Eritrea – last 4

LDWW
30 Sepvs South Africa0–5L
26 Sep@ Kenya1–1D
31 Mar@ Eswatini2–1W
25 Marvs Eswatini2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Guinea and Eritrea.

Guinea vs Eritrea head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Congo DR6402+412
2Tanzania6312+110
3Guinea6303+49
4Ethiopia6114-94

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Ghana Somalia Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.0575%X10.2019%226.006% U3.562%@1.65
Congo DR Sierra Leone Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2071%X5.7517%214.2012% O1.574%@1.24
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4139%X3.0423%22.9838% O1.567%@1.42
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.1125%X3.0623%22.3252% O1.566%@1.41
Benin Central African Republic Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5661%X3.6520%26.0919% O1.567%@1.38
Cameroon Namibia Tip: Cameroon to win 11.2669%X4.8519%212.5012% 169%@1.26
Ivory Coast Gambia Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1774%X6.3016%214.4010% U3.564%@1.39
Senegal Sudan Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.0775%X8.9017%224.007% U3.562%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guinea vs Eritrea?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance, priced at 1.52.

Who will win Guinea vs Eritrea?

Guinea win 73% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Eritrea 8%.

How many goals will there be in Guinea vs Eritrea?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 58% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Guinea vs Eritrea?

Our correct-score lean is Guinea 2–0 Eritrea – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Guinea vs Eritrea?

Guinea vs Eritrea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 28 Septembre.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.