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Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Kick-off George V Stadium

Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau prediction

MadagascarDLLD
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG0.90 – 1.45
Guinea-BissauWWD
Madagascar25%@3.11Draw23%@3.06Guinea-Bissau52%@2.32
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:06 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
66%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

GoodFair 1.51Odds 1.41
Rating6/10
Value

Guinea-Bissau to win @ 2.32our chance 52% vs 43% in the price · edge +20%

Picks by market

ResultGuinea-Bissau to win52% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau is one of the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixtures we have priced for Thursday 12 November (17:00 WAT, George V Stadium). The standings: Madagascar sit 4th on 2 points after 6 matches, Guinea-Bissau 3rd on 5. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Madagascar over their last 4: DLLD Most recently they shared the points with Tanzania 1–1 at home. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Guinea-Bissau over their last 3: WWD Most recently they got past Nigeria 3–0 at home. 2.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking. 2 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Guinea-Bissau arrive in better shape – 2.3 against 0.5.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Madagascar 0.9 – 1.5 Guinea-Bissau in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 40% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Madagascar 25%, draw 23%, Guinea-Bissau 52%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 1.99.
  • Price worth noting: Guinea-Bissau to win at 2.32 – we make it 52%, the odds imply 43%.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Over 1.5 goals (66% chance, priced 1.41). Correct-score lean: Madagascar 1–1 Guinea-Bissau. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Madagascar25%fair 3.95 · @3.11
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.06
Guinea-Bissau52%fair 1.93 · @2.32
2.35Expected goals
0.90Madagascar xG
1.45Guinea-Bissau xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%

From our goals model: Madagascar 0.9 – 1.5 Guinea-Bissau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuinea-Bissau to win52%1.932.32 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.861.99 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.511.41
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guinea-Bissau / FT Guinea-Bissau30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.08–

Recent results

Madagascar – last 4

DLLD
29 Sepvs Tanzania1–1D
25 Sep@ Nigeria1–2L
2 Jun@ Morocco0–4L
31 Mar@ Equatorial Guinea1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guinea-Bissau – last 3

WWD
29 Sepvs Nigeria3–0W
25 Sep@ Tanzania2–0W
31 Mar@ Burkina Faso1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Madagascar and Guinea-Bissau.

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros6330+312
2Tunisia6312+110
3Gambia622208
4Madagascar6024-42

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Ghana Somalia Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.0575%X10.2019%226.006% U3.562%@1.65
Congo DR Sierra Leone Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2071%X5.7517%214.2012% O1.574%@1.24
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4139%X3.0423%22.9838% O1.567%@1.42
Guinea Eritrea Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1472%X6.8019%215.509% U3.565%@1.49
Benin Central African Republic Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5461%X3.7820%26.0319% O1.569%@1.32
Cameroon Namibia Tip: Cameroon to win 11.2669%X4.8519%212.5012% 169%@1.26
Ivory Coast Gambia Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1774%X6.3016%214.4010% U3.564%@1.39
Senegal Sudan Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.0775%X8.9017%224.007% U3.562%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance, priced at 1.41.

Who will win Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Madagascar win 25% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Guinea-Bissau 52%.

How many goals will there be in Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 40% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Our correct-score lean is Madagascar 1–1 Guinea-Bissau – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau?

Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at George V Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.