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Primera División Kick-off Estadio Campeones del 36

Alianza Atletico v FBC Melgar prediction

Alianza AtleticoLWWLL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.24 – 1.64
FBC MelgarWLDWW
Alianza Atletico31%@3.20Draw20%@3.40FBC Melgar49%@2.05
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:10 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
77%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.29Odds 1.22
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultFBC Melgar to win49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 22:00 WAT on Saturday 14 November: Alianza Atletico take on FBC Melgar in the Primera División, with Estadio Campeones del 36 hosting. The standings: Alianza Atletico sit 7th on 28 points after 16 matches (in the upper half), FBC Melgar 5th on 29 (in the upper half). A gap of just 1 point, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Alianza Atletico over their last 5: LWWLL Most recently they were beaten by FC Cajamarca 0–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 2.2 per match.

FBC Melgar over their last 5: WLDWW Most recently they got past Juan Pablo II College 2–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.5 per match.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (31 May 2026): FBC Melgar 3–1 Alianza Atletico.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Alianza Atletico 1.2 – 1.6 FBC Melgar in expected goals, roughly 2.9 combined. A middling goal outlook: 55% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Alianza Atletico 31%, draw 20%, FBC Melgar 49%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 59% at 1.62.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Over 1.5 goals (77% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Atletico31%fair 3.24 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
FBC Melgar49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
2.88Expected goals
1.24Alianza Atletico xG
1.64FBC Melgar xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.2 – 1.6 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFBC Melgar to win49%2.052.05
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.691.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.491.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.68–

Recent results

Alianza Atletico – last 6

LWWLLW
7 Nov@ FC Cajamarca0–2L
31 Octvs Juan Pablo II College1–0W
28 Octvs Deportivo Garcilaso3–2W
24 Oct@ Sport Huancayo1–4L
18 Octvs Universitario1–4L
11 Oct@ Sport Boys3–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FBC Melgar – last 6

WLDWWD
8 Novvs Juan Pablo II College2–1W
2 Nov@ Sport Huancayo0–2L
30 Octvs Comerciantes Unidos1–1D
23 Oct@ UTC Cajamarca2–1W
18 Octvs Deportivo Garcilaso4–2W
11 Oct@ Universitario2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026FBC Melgar v Alianza Atletico3–1
Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

League hub
Alianza Lima FC Cajamarca Tip: Both teams to score 11.1771%X6.5018%213.0011% GG55%@2.25
UTC Cajamarca Club Deportivo Los Chankas Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.1645%X3.1222%23.3033% O1.573%@1.27
Comerciantes Unidos Sport Boys Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.8660%X3.5620%23.7420% O1.575%@1.21
Cusco ADT Tip: Cusco to win 11.5065%X3.9818%25.9517% 165%@1.50
Juan Pablo II College Deportivo Garcilaso Tip: Both teams to score 12.4438%X3.3820%22.6242% GG63%@1.55
UCV Moquegua Atletico Grau Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.7465%X3.5222%24.4013% U3.574%@1.26
Sport Huancayo Universitario Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.2039%X3.2521%23.0039% O1.576%@1.25
Sporting Cristal Cienciano Tip: Both teams to score 11.4264%X4.3318%26.5019% GG63%@1.67

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Alianza Atletico win 31% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, FBC Melgar 49%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 55% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Our correct-score lean is Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.